XM Radio Is in Sirius Trouble
by
Vedran Vuk
by Vedran Vuk
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XM Satellite
Radio and Sirius Satellite Radio have long been flirting with the
idea of merger. The time has finally come. After years of both companies
showing no profits, the two satellite entrepreneurs have
decided to mold their companies together and master their financial
problems.
There’s just
one serious problem. The FCC feels that this merger will create
an unfair monopoly dangerous to consumers. Further exacerbating
the problem is an agreement Sirius and XM were coerced into signing
in 1997 with the FCC to remain separate entities in order to prevent
monopoly and promote competition. Without this agreement, they would
not have been allowed to continue their visionary enterprise.
The FCC would
like to stop this "monopoly" from occurring. Certainly
just by coincidence, The National Association of Broadcasters composed
of AM/FM radio stations have lobbied to stop this horrendous merger
that would surely victimize consumers.
XM has really
put its foot in its mouth. They have already made antitrust agreements
long before the issue arose. XM and Sirius don’t have other competitors
in satellite, but they are obviously in competition with other companies.
Look no further
than the National Association of Broadcasters for the competitors.
Consumers have other options including AM/FM radio stations. Further,
the entire radio industry faces competition from portable music
such as iPods.
The competition
from other mediums for music such as iPod or internet has led to
a decline in the overall radio broadcasting industry. The main competition
facing regular radio is hardly satellite. Both satellite and terrestrial
radio stations are together competing against other mediums.
This decline
in overall radio can be seen in the incomes of Cumulus, Citadel,
and Cox Radio. Almost no radio station companies are showing positive
net income. The only ones that are truly profitable are diversified
companies branching into other media such as Clear Channel Communications.
The radio stations
are being out-competed by other digital music formats. Yet, these
companies claim there is "danger" from the merger of XM
and Sirius. It’s time to diversify and innovate or die out. XM and
Sirius are doing worse than any other major radio competitor.
By previously
agreeing not to merge, the companies have set themselves up. Their
next problem is their lack of political influence. XM’s campaign
financing contributions for the 2006 cycle were only $32,200 dollars.
The political interest group competition from National Association
of Broadcasters has given a total of almost a million dollars.
Companies like
Microsoft quickly find out what happens when you don’t give pay
offs to politicians. Antitrust laws are not passed in any fair or
logical way. After Microsoft’s antitrust case, Microsoft’s political
financing skyrocketed. When the case, United States v. Microsoft,
was filed in 1998 Microsoft was only spending $267,500 toward politicians.
By 2000, Microsoft had learned their lesson and began spending 1.2
million dollars in contributions. Almost 5 times more than before
the case!
The question
is political influence. When the scales of campaign financing lean
against the satellite merger, the outcome looks gloomy. Common sense
shows the competitors with the satellite radio companies. We don’t
need a trial to determine the competitors. It’s a waste of taxpayer
money. We already know there are competitors! Antitrust lawsuits
are more or less advance auctions on next year’s campaign financing.
Threaten an industry and then watch the money pour into campaign
coffers.
It’s still
remarkable to imagine antitrust being imposed on two new companies
showing major losses. Of course there aren’t more satellite companies.
This goes perfectly along with economic theory. When an unusual
profit is made in an industry, more entrants arise in order to take
part in that profit.
XM and Sirius
are the only two competing satellite companies who are both showing
losses. No new entrants will likely emerge until these companies
can show that a profit can be made with satellite radio. This case
really doesn’t get anymore textbook. No profits equals no new willing
entrants.
The question
at hand is only a matter of political influence decided during a
mock antitrust hearing. XM is very aware of the game that they’re
playing. In 2004, they spent only $3,000 on political contributions.
Their new spending is ten times this number. I think XM and Sirius
are far underestimating the political strength of the National Association
of Broadcasters. XM knows the game they’re playing; they’re just
not playing the game well enough. A million in the hands of politicians
would have done them a lot more good than improving their broadcasting
capabilities and quality.
Antitrust law
throws economics out the window. This is a matter of politics. And
in the world of politics, XM and Sirius have serious catching up
to do. Logically proving that you’re not a monopoly is futile.
It’s obvious
that these companies are not a monopoly by constantly competing
with radio and other media showing constant losses from their very
beginning. XM and Sirius advertise as having little to no commercials.
If they felt that they were not competing with traditional radio,
why would they advertise this aspect?!
In fact to
take these companies through this process is accusing them of being
guilty until "proven" guilty or a sizeable pay off is
given to the political sphere. Using antitrust laws to slam down
two failing companies desperately attempting to create a profitable
innovative service for consumers is a blatant and disturbing display
of what antitrust law really means, coercion and intimidation.
April
30, 2007
Vedran
Vuk [send him mail] is a student
of Economics at Loyola University of New Orleans, and a 2006 Summer
Fellow at the Mises Institute.
Copyright
© 2007 LewRockwell.com
Vedran
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