How Dangerous Is Japan's Creeping Nuclear Disaster?
Spiegel
Online
The destroyed
reactors at Fukushima have been releasing radiation for weeks. According
to model calculations, the stricken nuclear plant could already
have released one-tenth of the amount of radiation unleashed in
the Chernobyl disaster. How serious a risk does the disaster pose
to humans?
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The technicians
had for days to restore electricity to the remains of the Fukushima
nuclear power plant. But then it was ordinary rubber boots, of all
things, that would come to symbolize their desperation, helplessness
and defeat.
On Thursday,
the three men had made their way into the basement of the turbine
building for reactor No. 3 to examine the situation there. When
they returned later, they came fully equipped with tools and protective
gear that included helmets, masks, rubber gloves and raincoats on
top of their radiation suits.
The one thing
the men were not prepared for was that suddenly they would be wading
through more than a few inches of water. Two of the workers were
only wearing ankle-high boots, which allowed the water to seep in.
With wet feet, the men spent three-quarters of an hour working on
the cables, despite the fact that their dosimeters were beeping
for a long time.
The workers
are now under observation at the National Institute of Radiological
Sciences. The water at Fukushima was so contaminated that radioactive
beta radiation burned their skin. In less than an hour, they were
exposed to about 180 millisievert of radiation, or nine times as
much as one nuclear power plant employee is exposed to in an entire
year. "These kinds of burns will be causing problems for the
men for a long time to come," says Peter Jacob, director of
the Institute for Radiation Protection at the Helmholtz Center in
Munich, Germany. Commenting on the exposure, a coworker of the three
men said laconically: "We do pay attention. But now we have
to be even more careful as we work."
The incident
revealed, once again, how little experts know about the dangers
that still lurk on the grounds of the ill-fated plant. No one had
expected the radiation level in the water in the basement to be
as high as it was. The levels of radiation in water in the basement
of reactors No. 1, No. 2 and No. 3 reached record highs, with water
at No. 2 measuring 1,000 millisieverts per hour. This was due to
a partial core melt. Also, the containment vessel for the third
reactor was apparently damaged, representatives of the Japanese
nuclear regulatory agency concluded. Could this mean that there
is a crack in the barrier between the highly radioactive core and
the surrounding environment?
The beginning
of last week offered grounds for cautious optimism. Power had been
restored to the damaged reactor No. 1, a German concrete mixer was
pumping water into the dangerously empty pool containing spent fuel
rods in Unit 4, and there had been no explosions in the plant for
an entire week. Two weeks after the disaster
in Fukushima began, all of this sounded like good news.
'An Ongoing,
Massive Release of Radioactivity'
Meanwhile,
however, the engineers have been forced to realize that they have
made almost no headway in restoring the cooling system. By Friday
night, pumps were still not working in any of the damaged reactors.
Up to 45 tons of sea salt have apparently accumulated in the containment
vessels, complicating the cooling effort. The salt is crystallizing
in warm spots and creating an unwanted layer of insulation. The
engineers planned to start flushing fresh water into the reactors
on Friday afternoon. But the reactors are only one problem. There's
also the issue of the 3,450 spent fuel rods, which are red-hot,
presumably severely damaged and exposed to the air in half-empty
pools.
"We are
experiencing an ongoing, massive release of radioactivity,"
says Wolfram König, head of Germany's Federal Office for Radiation
Protection. "And everyone should know by now that this isn't
over by a long shot." Nuclear expert Helmut Hirsch says: "All
I hear is that people are wondering whether this will turn into
a meltdown. But the thing is, it already is a partial meltdown."
The difference, in this case, is that Fukushima is a creeping disaster.
To make matters
worse, the wind changed on Friday. Radioactive particles over the
Pacific were now drifting westward across Japan. High levels of
radiation were detected in vegetables, water and soil near the Fukushima
plant.
The Japanese
authorities have so far only evacuated a zone within 20 kilometers
(12.4 miles) of Fukushima. But the risks posed by radiation are
also growing for people outside this zone. "It is high time
Japanese authorities extend the 20- kilometer (12.4-mile) evacuation
zone around the crippled nuclear-power plant at Fukushima ... Pregnant
women and small children should immediately be evacuated from a
progressively increasing area," writes nuclear critic Mycle
Schneider, lead author of the World Nuclear Industry Status Reports.
Embryos, fetuses and infants are at the highest risk, because radiation
targets cells that divide quickly.
There are currently
77,000 people living in emergency shelters set up in places like
gymnasiums. Another 62,000 people live within the 30-kilometer zone.
The head of the United States Nuclear Regulatory Agency (NRC) recommends
expanding the evacuation zone to 80 kilometers, in which case 2
million people would have to be relocated in addition to the
hundreds of thousands of earthquake and tsunami victims. Japanese
authorities are now asking people to leave the area voluntarily.
The beleaguered
Japanese are also being peppered with concerned advice, demands
and speculation from the United States, Russia, Finland and Germany.
Even France's nuclear safety agency IRSN, not exactly known for
its cautionary approach to nuclear risks, published a disturbing
model calculation last week. According to the report, by last Tuesday
the Fukushima plant had already released into the environment one-tenth
of the amount of radioactive material that was released at Chernobyl
in 1986.
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the rest of the article
March
29, 2011
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© 2011 Spiegel Online
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