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Here
Come the Centenarians!
by
Bill Sardi
Recently
by Bill Sardi: The
Healthcare Insurance Debate: The Elephant in the Room
Centenarians:
Japan
2008: 36,000
Japan 2009: 40,000
France 2000: 8,000
France 2008: 20,000
Quite a few
battalions of nonagenarians (people in their 90s) are ready to enter
the ranks of centenarians across the globe and the most striking
examples are found in Japan and France.
According to
a Reuters report, in the past year the number of centenarians in
Japan has risen to over 40,000, a jump of 10% – remarkable for a
country of only 127 million people. [Reuters 9-11-2009]
Even more arresting
are the French, with a total population of 65 million, whose ranks
of centenarians totaled 8,000 just 8 years ago and whose centenarian
population now totals over 20,000 (2008). At the current rate of
life expectancy in France, there will be over 80,000 people in France
over the age of 100 by 2050. [Web in France, April 2, 2008]
Comparisons
For comparison,
according to the U.S. Census Bureau, the U.S. (pop. 300 million)
has the most centenarians in the world with 96,000. But U.S. longevity
figures are not very accurate due to poorly kept birth records many
decades ago. There is no way to confirm that many Americans are
true centenarians.
Japan has the
longest life expectancy in the world and they have accurate birth
records to prove it. The Japanese consume about 1000 fewer calories
per day and by virtue of the fact they must import most of their
beef and dairy products, have lower iron and calcium consumption
levels, so they age slower.
Developed countries
of the world that have grasslands and water to feed cattle have
the highest rates of cardiovascular disease and cancer. Iron in
red meat and calcium in dairy products, in greater demand in the
growing years, simply accelerate rusting and calcification (aging)
in adult males and postmenopausal females.
The much-heralded
longevity of Japanese living on the southern-most Prefecture (island)
of Okinawa is fast fading into nonexistence. Once the longest-living
prefecture in Japan, Okinawa is now ranked 26th among
47 prefectures of Japan in male longevity. [Asia Pac J Public
Health. 2008 Oct; 20 Suppl: 95–101]
As of 1988,
in Okinawa, daily intake of meat and daily intake of pulses were
both approximately 90 grams, which is about 20% and 30% higher than
the national average, respectively. Around the same time period
daily intake of green and yellow vegetables in Okinawa was about
50% higher than the national average. However, by 1998, daily meat
intake and fat energy ratio had surpassed 100 grams and 30%, respectively,
and daily intake of pulses and green and yellow vegetables had declined
to the level of the national average. Recently, young Japanese,
particularly young men in Okinawa, have shown a tendency to avoid
the traditional dishes there. [Asia Pac J Public Health. 2003; 15
Suppl: S3–9]
Japanese men
(age 61–81 years) living in Japan are 3 times more likely to smoke
tobacco than Japanese men living in Hawaii, and experience a higher
death rate than Hawaiian males. [Annals Epidemiology 2008; 18: 913–18]
One has to ask, just how long would people live on average in Japan
if males there didn’t smoke or over-consume alcohol?
Smoking
declines
Probably a
decline in smoking among French women is responsible for a great
amount of the increase in longevity there. Only 8.7% of women smoke
tobacco in France compared to 16.9% in Greece and 26.1% in Italy,
other Mediterranean countries that have high life expectancy. [World
Health Org., Obesity in Europe June 24, 2008] In Japan, about 43%
of males and 13% of females smoke tobacco (2007 figures). [Wikipedia]
Less than 20% of Americans now smoke.
The anti-aging
pill is liquid and it is corked!
Frenchmen are
not waiting for the announcement of an anti-aging pill. Traditionally-made
red wine, fermented for weeks and aged for two years in oak casks,
is still their medicine. In fact the red winedrinking French
are living beyond all expectations, despite their relatively high-fat
diet. This phenomenon was first called The French Paradox
by French physician Serge Renaud in the early 1990s. [Lancet. 1992
Jun 20; 339(8808):1523-6]
In recent years
there has been a decline in alcohol consumption and smoking among
adults over age 60 in France. But the consumption of red wine still
remains high among older generation French. Furthermore, the death
of many elderly adults in France with the heat wave of 2003 brought
about changes in the way French families take care of their aged
family members. The use of air-conditioning has risen among homes
where seniors reside.
As confirmation
of the French Paradox, a recent study shows 5 years of extra life
for modest wine drinkers compared to teetotalers. [Journal Epidemiology
Community Health 2009; 63: 53440]
Will the next
generation in France embrace wine?
There was a
day when the French were forced to fight for their wine – during
WWII the occupying German army seized great stores of wine, sending
tens of thousands of barrels to the Third Reich and ordering the
conversion of thousands of hectares of vineyards into war production.
(This chapter of French wine history was captured in the book Wine
and War: The French, the Nazis, and the Battle for France's Greatest
Treasure.)
Whether the
younger generation in France is willing to fight for their wine,
as prior generations have, is yet to be determined. The French consume
half as much wine as they did 40 years ago, according to the International
Organization of Vine and Wine.
Do the French
recognize the medicinal value of their wine as a remedy to the diabesity
epidemic that prevails in the Western World?
Add red wine
molecules to the diet of laboratory rats and they avoid many of
the health problems posed by obesity. [PLoS One 2009; e5557]
One of the
underappreciated aspects of red wine is its ability to regulate
weight by controlling the production of estrogen by fat-producing
cells (adipocytes). Animals given red wine molecules gain less weight
than their teetotaling cousins. [Nutrition 2009; 25; 699-705]
This may be why the French are so lean yet consume a lot of calories.
France is sitting
on a remedy to the diabesity epidemic that plagues the Western world.
Diabesity represents the greatest segment of healthcare costs in
the U.S. Notice there is less heated debate over healthcare costs
in France.
In a recent
World Health Organization health-care ranking, France came in first,
while the U.S. scored 37th. The difference in deaths
from respiratory disease, is particularly striking: 31.2 per 100,000
people in France, vs. 61.5 per 100,000 in the U.S. And let’s not
forget the fact the wine-drinking French exhibit a far lower coronary
artery disease mortality rate (78.4 per 100,000) than the United
States (163.4 per 100,000). [Novartis Foundation Symposium.
1998; 216: 20817] And France spends just 10.7% of its
gross domestic product on health care, while the U.S. lays out 16%,
more than any other nation. [BusinessWeek July 9, 2007]
Who is the
marketing agent for French wine? He has fallen on his face in the
midst of a global health crisis.
But Americans
would rather pop pills than drink wine with their meals. So the
French lament over the declining popularity of their wine while
consumers choose to buy less expensive wine and pay billions in
higher healthcare costs. And they dare call the French arrogant!
At one time
France dominated worldwide wine exports. But today France is third
behind the U.S. and Spain in wine exports, commandeering only about
15% of worldwide wine exports. The financial pages say the "party
is over" for French wine exports. [Forbes.com Sept. 27, 2009]
Sadly, worldwide sales of French wine have declined in recent years,
led by challenges from cheaper wines made in Australia. The French
carry some of the blame as experts there say lack of consistent
quality has hurt wine exports.
Yet, unlike
other wine makers who produce wine in assembly-line fashion and
only ferment their product for 1 week, the French ferment their
wine four weeks and produce a dark red wine that is rich in molecules
the public is just now becoming familiar with – resveratrol, quercetin
and proanthocyanidins. This is true medicinal wine. [Nature.
2006 Nov 30; 444(7119):566]
If confused
about which French red wine to try first, taste
test wines made from the Tannat grape in the southwestern region
of Madiran that are known to be rich in the molecules mentioned
above.
Don’t
think all French wineries produce medicinal wine. In 2006 masked
marauders raided a port and dumped thousands of gallons of cheap
wine in protest against the mass-production "industrial"
French wine companies. A few of the masked marauders were arrested
and later released by the courts. The French government is now paying
vintners to tear up their vineyards and grow other crops to reduce
oversupply. [Wine Spectator May 26, 2006] French vintners know what
they have. They detest pretenders who produce wine with a "made
in France" label that doesn’t match traditional standards of
quality.
If French wines
are not your fancy, traditional dark-reds made from Malbec and Carmenere
grapes at high altitude in Chile and Argentina certainly rival the
French wines.
Wine for
health?
There will
be those who argue over the downsides of promoting wine for health.
And then there will be arguments of pride over who makes the best
wine. But to allay all arguments, the choice of alcoholic beverage
has something to do with death rates among males.
In Finland,
a country often used for health studies because of its high usage
of tobacco and alcoholic beverages, charted the 29-year mortality
of 2468 businessmen there according to alcoholic beverage preference.
Wine-drinking Finnish males had the lowest mortality due to lower
cardiovascular disease rates. The data shows wine drinkers in Finland
exhibit a –34% lower mortality rate, beer drinkers 9% lower
mortality rate, compared to males who drank alcoholic spirits (hard
liquor). [Journal Gerontology A Biol Science Med Science
2007; 62: 213–18, 2007]
The French
who drink 3 to 5 glasses of red wine a day experience optimal health
benefits. But this is enough alcohol to adversely affect driving
and suggests mass inebriation. The Bible warns of tarrying too long
with the wine. Doctors in the U.S. have been reluctant to prescribe
wine so as to give license for their patients to over-imbibe. Maybe
there is room for a red wine pill – remove the alcohol and ingest
the wine solids. Some progress is being made in this area though
human research studies are wanting.
While charting
different courses, the French and Japanese have found their way
to longevity. Just look at the decade-old data in the chart below.
Obviously France and Japan have markedly increased the estimated
number of centenarians since the year 2000 when this data was published.
Legions of 80-plus year-olds are marching their way toward their
100th birthday in countries across the globe. France
and Japan lead the pack.
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Table
3: Number of Aged Persons, circa 2000, selected countries
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Country
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Age
80 & over
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Age
100 and over
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Age
100 & over, per 10,000 persons age 80 & over
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|
France
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2,131,882
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8,752*
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41
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|
Iceland
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7,465
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25
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33
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Netherlands
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505,315
|
1,323
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26
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Belgium
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356,498
|
893
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25
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|
Italy
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2,263,467
|
5,438
|
24
|
|
Japan
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4,755,732
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11,546**
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24
|
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Switzerland
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282,535
|
678
|
24
|
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Denmark
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208,879
|
483
|
23
|
|
Norway
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190,012
|
423
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22
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Sweden
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436,373
|
907
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21
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West
Germany
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2,428,787
|
4,925
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20
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Austria
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280,554
|
453
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16
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Finland
|
171,111
|
246
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14
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*
Number of centenarians in France has now risen over 20,000
(2008 figures).
**
Number of centenarians in Japan has now risen to over 40,000
(2009 figures)
Source:
Kestenbaum B, Ferguson BR, Number
of Centenarians in the United States, Social Security
Administration, 2005, Princeton University
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September
23, 2009
Bill
Sardi [send
him mail] is a frequent writer on health and political
topics. His health writings can be found at www.naturalhealthlibrarian.com.
He is the author of You
Don’t Have To Be Afraid Of Cancer Anymore.
Copyright
© 2009 Bill Sardi Word of Knowledge Agency, San Dimas, California.
This article has been written exclusively for www.LewRockwell.com
and other parties who wish to refer to it should link rather than
post at other URLs.
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