The Losing Game
by
Michael S. Rozeff
by Michael S. Rozeff
DIGG THIS
Does your wife
complain about your drinking? Here’s what to do. Raise it
from 5 ounces a day to 7 ounces a day. Take the heat. Then promise
to cut back to 5 ounces, and make a token move in that direction.
George Bush
has a reputation as a skilled poker player. In December of 2006,
he raised the U.S. bet in Iraq by unilaterally introducing thousands
of additional U.S. troops. He bet that Congress would support this
move financially despite the war’s unpopularity.
By early May
of 2007, Congress passed a $124 billion funding bill containing
a timetable for U.S. troop withdrawal. Bush vetoed this bill. In
less than 4 weeks, Congress passed the funding bill without the
timetable. Bush won the hand. But Iraq is still a losing game.
Bush won substantial
time to continue the war. He provided cover for those Congressmen
who want to support the war while also criticizing it for the benefit
of the folks back home. They can point to the President’s veto.
More importantly, they can also point to troop "withdrawals,"
for General Petraeus now speaks of withdrawing the additional
30,000 surge troops by July of 2008. If this occurs, the U.S. troop
level by next July will be right back where it was before Bush instigated
the troop increase last December. Congressional politicians will
have the benefit of headlines declaring troop withdrawals.
The golden
age of MGM musicals ended long ago, but the Washington Circus continues
with the President as ringmaster. Mr. Mayer would not say this is
entertainment. Dog-and-pony acts like those of Petraeus need no
direction from Bush. Professionals like him know what hoops to jump
through. Petraeus is a diversion. All the statistical hoopla is
a diversion.
The tide has
shifted. The automatic Congressional support for war in Iraq has
faded. Voices on both sides of the aisle are speaking up more and
more willingly. This episode in foreign entanglement, war, and state-building
will be very slowly liquidated, but it will take a new administration
to accomplish this.
Will the next
U.S. administration retrench the U.S. empire? Will it turn away
from war and invasion as instruments of U.S. foreign policy? Will
it banish the paranoid fears of U.S. policymakers? Will it end the
propaganda over national security? Will it terminate the war on
terror as official policy? Will it battle terrorism with appropriate
police tools and vastly decrease the military involvement?
Not on your
life. Not until Americans demand these things. The Democrats who
may win the next election view Iraq as a "failed policy."
They do not view Iraq as part of a larger failed American strategy.
Failure it surely is. Domestic socialism and international imperialism
under the guise of wrong-headed ideals do nothing but retard American
growth. They simply throw valuable coerced capital down the drain
and undermine capital accumulation.
The Vietnam
War ended in 1975. A degree of war disillusionment set in. It lasted
only 8 years. It ended when American troops landed on Grenada in
1983. In 1989 the U.S. invaded Panama. By 1990, the U.S. was fighting
a major war in Iraq. The respite from the strategy of war was pitifully
brief.
This time around,
the matter is extremely clear.
On May 1, 2003,
Bush declared that the "major combat" in Iraq had ended.
He was wrong. He has been consistently wrong on Iraq as was his
predecessor, Bill Clinton. Congress has also been consistently wrong
on Iraq.
Bush was wrong
to support regime change in Iraq.
Bush was wrong
to attack and bring down Saddam Hussein. Congress was wrong to support
and fund regime change and the war.
Bush was wrong
on Saddam Hussein’s weapons of mass destruction.
Bush was wrong
in thinking of Iraq as a "grave and growing danger" to
the U.S. He was wrong to allow Cheney and Rumsfeld to say that Iraq
was developing nuclear weapons even as the CIA was writing that
it had no "direct evidence that Iraq has used the period since
Desert Fox to reconstitute its WMD programs."
Bush was wrong
to think of terrorist acts on U.S. soil as war. He was wrong to
paint Saddam Hussein as closely tied in with Al-Qaeda or bin Laden.
Bush was wrong
to propagandize the American public with hypothetical Iraqi threats.
He was wrong to propagandize Americans by declaring that the threats
were actual: "This is a man [Saddam Hussein] who told the world
he would not have weapons of mass destruction – your chemical, your
biological or nuclear weapons. For eleven years he has lied. On
the one hand, he said he wouldn't have them – he does."
But President
Bush, while wrong most of the time, is not always wrong. He was
right earlier this year when he said: "It is clear that we
need to change our strategy in Iraq." The thing we need to
notice is that he didn’t change it. He simply gave us more of the
same.
Bush is right
to have criticized terrorism. Bin Laden and his ilk in Iraq and
elsewhere join a long list of bloodthirsty would-be tyrants, tyrants,
and violent idiots. The carnage they perpetrate is unspeakable.
But Americans need to look in the mirror at the needless carnage,
dislocation, and destruction that we cause and have caused.
Bush is right
to have noted that security in Iraq is an urgent priority. But it
is a priority for those who live there, not, as he thinks, as a
condition of American "success."
Bush and Congress
continue to be wrong on Iraq. The entire American effort, military
and political, is based on faulty premises. Bush and Congress are
playing a losing game. The only way to salvage any chips is to quit
playing the game now. Under the present strategies, when the clock
strikes 2 a.m., America will not be able to pick up its money and
get up from the table as it did in Vietnam.
Under present
strategies, America is a big loser and yet it is following strategies
that lock it into playing the losing game indefinitely. It is urgent
and imperative for America to disengage from Iraq immediately.
American policies
rest on faulty and shaky premises. The main false premises are that
the U.S. has a right to and should control the destiny of the people
living in Iraq. But U.S. soldiers have no right to attack foreign
lands that have not attacked the U.S. And the U.S. should not engage
in such attacks, the results of which are devastating for all parties
concerned.
Another false
premise is that the U.S. can control the politics of Iraq and create
a democratic, stable, and independent government. But it has no
viable way to accomplish this because Iraq is and always has been
politically fractured. Saddam Hussein held it together under strong
man rule. Given the goal of democracy, the U.S. cannot create a
stable country in Iraq. It’s been trying to do this for 4 years
without success. Pandora’s box has been opened, and inside are Turks
and Kurds, Sadrs and Badrs, Shiites and Sunnis, Muslims and Christians,
Iranians and Iraqis, etc.
The U.S. can
only accomplish this task by following an unacceptable course, which
is to impose a government, that is, find another Saddam Hussein
and another military force to hold the country together. And this
is what some U.S. leaders want. The calls for a change in leadership
in Iraq indicate that democracy is a facade and that some U.S. leaders
want a strong man in power. Similarly, continual U.S. attempts to
reconstruct a loyal military force suggest the same, which is a
desire to control the factions under one rule.
The U.S. aims
to hold the country together by temporarily controlling the bloodshed.
American forces will be further embedded into the country to accomplish
this. The false premise is that this will buy time for building
up an Iraqi security force so that America can withdraw.
Again, the
U.S. has been trying to do this for 4 years without success. Each
faction within Iraq has its own agenda. The various factions make
up the police and military. They think in terms of what will happen
when the U.S. is gone. Their goals do not coincide with American
goals and do not coincide with the goals of the current titular
leadership of Iraq.
At some point,
when Americans are gone or before, someone will attempt to control
and use the Iraqi force to achieve power in Iraq. This power struggle
and waiting game can go on indefinitely.
The U.S. vainly
imagines that there is some sort of security force goal to be met
at some time certain in the future at which time it achieves success.
However, building an Iraqi government is not the same as building
a rocket to the moon or even overseeing new Japanese and German
governments on the ruins of the old ones. Deadlines, planning, manpower,
air strikes, raids, and troops are of no help. Building an independent
Iraqi state that will be to America’s liking and survive in America’s
absence is a task beyond the capabilities of American administrations.
Iraq is not India, and the U.S. is not Great Britain. Building states
is not a cookie-cutter operation done according to Mom’s favorite
recipe. The tangled and lengthy histories of France and Germany
show how extremely complicated it can be for democratic states to
arise.
The false premises
here are that the U.S. has the right to, can, and should construct
political governments all over the world to its liking. But U.S.
citizens through their political and military institutions have
no such right to impose government upon other peoples by political
and economic state-to-state measures or by military measures. Other
peoples have a right to self-determination, no matter whether we
like the outcome or not. Nor can such imposed measures be successful
in the sense of benefiting either Americans in general or the peoples
of such countries, inasmuch as all such measures involve various
forms of socialism that must invariably retard progress. And for
these reasons, the U.S. should not engage in its basic strategy
of controlling the politics and economics of foreign lands. The
same can be said for the role of the national government of the
U.S. vis-à-vis the individual states of this nation. Socialism
has the same bad results, whether practiced domestically or internationally.
Iraq is a losing
game for Americans and Iraqis at large. But Iraq exemplifies a much
larger losing game, which occurs whenever one central government
controls people by controlling the lesser governments of those people.
The winners of these games are those in control. The losers are
the people being controlled.
It
will be a wonderful day when those politicians who are repudiating
the Iraq policy also repudiate the overall American policy of centralized
domestic and international control. It will be a wonderful day when
those who speak of freedom actually do something to enlarge it.
If one significant city, county, or state in this land will stand
up to the intrusions of those governments above it and resist them,
that day may yet come.
September
13, 2007
Michael
S. Rozeff [send him mail]
is a retired Professor of Finance living in East Amherst, New York.
Copyright
© 2007 LewRockwell.com
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