Is the Gold Standard History?
by
Llewellyn H. Rockwell, Jr.
In
the 19th century, notes Murray N. Rothbard, debates on
monetary issues were highly public and intensely controversial.
Do you favor the national bank? The gold standard? Bimetallism?
What is your opinion of the free silver movement? What is most important:
a highly liquid money stock that can prop up commodity prices, or
a sound dollar that promotes thrift and discourages debt accumulation?
Should the monetary system reward debtors or creditors?
These
were issues debated in the nation’s newspapers, discussed in political
meetings, and raged on the streets. Every educated man had an opinion.
Part of the reason is that, frankly, people were much better educated
in those days. It is astonishing to think of today, but average
people had the mental equipment to enable them to understand these
complicated issues, if not always to arrive at the right conclusions.
The
federal government had long been involved in money precisely because
this is one of the first areas a government likes to get its grubby
hands on when it takes power. The US government was no exception,
despite constitutional provisions that would appear to restrict
its monetary power.
Matters
are radically different today. It is very rare to ever see an article
addressing the money question in the nation’s newspapers. Debates
and discussions are left to the academic journals or the self-published
tracts of money cranks with the major exception of the Austrian
economists, who continue to believe that the money issue is both
academically important and politically crucial.
This
is why, for twenty years, the Mises Institute has been sponsoring
research and writing on the gold standard, and promoting an idea
that most public intellectuals find absurdly anachronistic: that
a gold standard is better than our current monetary system. What's
more, we not only believe that the gold standard had a better record
historically. We believe that we ought to institute a gold standard
right now.
Even
many libertarians find themselves mystified by our focus. Who cares
about these arcane issues of monetary policy? What does it have
to do with the fate of human liberty? Could we pick a policy agenda
that is more unlikely to come about? Are we just gluttons for political
failure? Why not trim our ambitions to political reality?
It
is true that not a soul in Washington apart from our heroic Congressman
from Texas, Ron Paul, says a word about the gold standard. Even
Alan Greenspan, who once wrote that freedom is inseparable from
the gold standard, dreads being asked about the subject. To him,
it is entirely theoretical with no practical import. In any case,
he doesn’t want people looking too closely at the kinds of things
he does at the Fed, any more than the Wizard of Oz wanted anyone
to pull back the curtain.
Most
economists have no interest in the issue. What's more, the most
influential economist of the last century, John Maynard Keynes,
hated the gold standard with astonishing intensity, and he considered
it his great accomplishment in life to have assisted in its destruction.
Even to this day, his influence is immense, with most economists
accepting the broad framework that he laid out in his work, and
sharing his conviction that the worst thing that could befall any
society is for the government to lose its power to manage economic
life.
There
are many objections to the conventional view of the gold standard,
but let me just respond to the point about realism. There are a
lot of policies which seem unrealistic to promote. We can admit
that there is little prospect that the post office will be privatized
anytime soon, but that fact doesn't diminish our responsibility
to push the idea. Nothing could be more obvious than that private
enterprise would do a better job of delivering letters than the
government. But if no one says it if people are not willing
to state what is true, again and again all hope for change
is lost. And sometimes, just stating what is true is enough to bring
about change when conditions are ripe for it.
In
the debate on the post office, we have the added advantage of being
able to point to a superior and very well developed sector of private
package and letter delivery. The reason it is thriving is due to
loopholes in the law, which these companies exploit. If the letter
statutes were repealed, I have no doubt that first-class letters
would be deliverable by private enterprise within days. That is
precisely why the post office is so anxious to hold onto its legal
privileges.
In
any case, as with the gold standard, it might be said that advocating
privatization is politically unrealistic, and therefore a waste
of time. What's more, we might say that by continuing to harp on
the issue, we only marginalize ourselves, proving that we are on
the fringe. Again, I submit that there is no better way to ensure
that an issue will always be off the table than to stop talking
about it.
This
applies to the gold standard too. The case for radical monetary
reform is as obvious as the need to sell the post office. Every
year or 18 months, the world goes through some sort of monetary
convulsion. In the last ten years, we've seen it in Mexico, all
through Asia, and now Latin America. To one degree or another, there
are few problems of international economics that are not traceable
to the grave limitations of a world fiat money system.
This
includes the problem of the business cycle itself. In this recession,
unlike any I can remember, the Austrian theory of the trade cycle
has received a fantastic amount of public commentary and attention.
The core idea of this theory is that Fed-created credit is responsible
for the boom and bust, and it has been embraced by top economists
at some of the largest and most prestigious investment houses.
The
Mises Institute has done a fine job in getting the word out about
the true cause of the business cycle, but the real reason it is
getting such attention is that is provides such a compelling explanation
of the 1990s bubble and the later crisis. Neither do most of these
economists doubt that financial bubbles would not be a problem under
the gold standard, even if they believe the gold standard introduces
problems of its own.
Far
from being an arcane and anachronistic issue, then, we can see that
the gold standard and the issues it raises get right to the heart
of the current debate concerning the future of the world economy
and its reform. What the critics who denounce gold are really saying
is that the government and its friends don't like the idea of the
gold standard, so therefore they are not going to favor one.
Why
do the government and its partisans dislike the gold standard? It
removes the discretionary power of the Fed by placing severe limits
on the ability of the central bank to inflate the money supply.
Without that discretionary power, the government has far fewer tools
of central planning at its disposal. Government can regulate, which
is a function of the police power. It can tax, which involves taking
people's property. And it can spend, which means redistributing
other people's property. But its activities in the financial area
are radically curbed.
Think
of your local and state governments. They tax and spend. They manipulate
and intervene. As with all governments from the beginning of the
time, they generally retard social progress and muck things up as
much as possible. What they do not do, however, is run huge deficits,
accumulate trillions in debt, reduce the value of money, bail out
foreign governments, provide endless credits to failing enterprises,
administer hugely expensive and destructive social insurance schemes,
or bring about immense swings in business activity.
State
and local governments are awful and they must be relentlessly checked,
but they are not anything like the threat of the federal government.
Neither are they as arrogant and convinced of their own infallibility
and indispensability. They lack the aura of invincibility that the
central government enjoys.
Why
is this? You might say it is because the federal government already
does these things, but no government has ever been troubled by the
prospect of providing redundant services. You might say that state-level
constitutions restrict their activities, but our experience with
the federal government demonstrates that constitutions can’t restrain
a government by themselves. The main reason, I believe, is that
the state and local government do not issue their own currencies
controlled by central banks.
It
is the central bank, and only the central bank, that works as the
government's money machine, and this makes all the difference. Now,
it is not impossible that a central bank can exist alongside a gold
standard, a lender of last resort that avoids the temptation to
destroy that which restrains it. In the same way, it is possible
for someone with an insatiable appetite to sit at a banquet table
of delicious food and not eat.
Let's
just say that the existence of a central bank introduces an occasion
of sin for the government. That is why under the best gold standard,
there would be no central bank, gold coins would circulate as freely
as their substitutes, and rules against fraud and theft would prohibit
banks from pyramiding credit on top of demand deposits. So long
as we are constructing the perfect system, all coinage would be
private. Banks would be treated as businesses, no special privileges,
no promises of bailout, no subsidized insurance, and no connection
to government at any level.
This
is the free-market system of monetary management, which means turning
over the institution of money entirely to the market economy. As
with any institution in a free society, it is not imposed from above,
dictated by a group of experts, but is the de facto result that
comes about in a society that consistently respects private-property
rights and encourages enterprise.
Money
is not something chosen by social managers but the consequence of
economic development, as society moves from barter to indirect exchange.
One commodity that is widely in demand comes to operate as a medium
of exchange, a commodity for which any good or service can be traded
with the expectation that this commodity will be demanded by others
in future exchanges. Precious metals, gold in particular, have traditionally
served as the money of choice.
As
Rothbard explained, the institutions we call banks serve a dual
function in a free-market system. First, they provide safe keeping
for one's money, and offer money substitutes that they certify really
do represent money in the vault. And second, they provide credit
services, both to savers who would like to see money risked in the
loan market and to borrowers who need cash for purposes of consumption
or investment. The banks work as brokers between these parties to
effect mutually beneficial exchanges.
If
any market-chosen commodity can perform the function of money, why
are we Austro-libertarians focused on gold? It is often said that
we have an obsession with gold and a fixation on the subject of
money. To some degree, however, this alleged obsession is shared
by popular culture and by financial markets, as a continuing testimony
to the power of the idea of gold as a guarantor of value.
Whenever
a writer wants to convey the idea that something sets the highest
standard, he refers to it as the gold standard. I was amused the
other day to read in the London Daily Telegraph an
article on grade inflation in British schools, in which the writer
counterpoised the grading gold standard of the past. The metaphor
seems quite apt.
As
for financial markets, events this year have again underscored the
underlying obsession, if you want to call it that, that the world's
financial markets have with gold. It is not a coincidence that gold-mining
stocks were the best performing during the bust period of this business
cycle. And earlier this summer, we saw spot prices of gold begin
to move very rapidly in response to the growing perception that
the financial sector was far from bottoming out. Try as it might,
the establishment just can’t seem to crush the perception that gold
is more reliable than government’s paper money.
Indeed,
gold continues to be seen as a standard of soundness, as the commodity
to flee to in times of emergency, as the last store of value that
can be counted on. Neither are these emergencies unknown in the
modern world. In Latin America this summer, we witnessed governments
prohibiting withdrawals from banks during financial crises, just
as we saw in the early days of the Great Depression in the United
States. Gold continues to be perceived as a safe haven from the
wiles of political opportunism and violence.
J.
Bradford DeLong, former assistant US Treasury Secretary, wrote the
following just the other day: "Eighty years ago, John Maynard Keynes
argued that governments needed to take responsibility for maintaining
full employment and price stability that the pre-World War I gold
standard had not been the golden age people thought it was, and
that its successes were the result of a lucky combination of circumstances
unlikely to be repeated. Keynes was an optimist in believing that
governments could learn to manage the business cycle." DeLong continues
to point out that the record of post-gold currencies has been a
disaster as compared with their promise.
In
this respect, fiat currency has much in common with socialism. They
both failed to live up to their promises, and, indeed, failed miserably
by every standard. But they both long outlived their failures, simply
because political elites had too much invested in them to change
the system and the intellectual class worked overtime to shore up
support for the failed system. Eventually, of course, full-blown
socialism collapsed, just as I believe that fiat currency systems
will.
Murray
Rothbard has written: "It might be thought that the mix of government
and money is too far gone, too pervasive in the economic system,
too inextricably bound up in the economy, to be eliminated without
economic destruction… In truth, taking back our money would be relatively
simple and straightforward, much less difficult than the daunting
task of denationalizing and decommunizing the Communist countries
of Eastern Europe and the former Soviet Union."
And
for all the reasons that gold eventually emerged as the money of
choice thousands of years ago, it continues to have the properties
that make it the best money of choice today. It is portable, divisible,
fungible, durable, and has a high ratio of value per unit of weight.
It is as compatible with today's economy, driven by information
technology and lightning quick financial transactions, as it was
compatible with the 19th century economy of heavy industry
and agriculture. It is not technical limitations that prevent the
dollar from being redefined as a unit weight of gold, but political
ones.
The
monetary benefits of a gold standard are clear enough, and they
include life without inflation, an end to the business cycle, rational
economic calculation in accounting and international trade, an encouragement
to savings, and a dethroning of the government-connected financial
elite.
But
it is also political considerations that draw people to support
the gold standard. Gold limits the power of the state and puts power
back in the hands of the people.
Once
you begin to understand the role of the monetary regime in the building
of the modern statist enterprise in providing the means of
funding for the entire welfare-warfare state, in generating financial
instability, in destroying savings and undermining living standards
you realize that there is far too little interest in the
subject in the mainstream press. You begin to realize that the 19th
century focus on the money issue was entirely appropriate.
Once
having read Mises or Rothbard or any number of great monetary theorists,
you begin to realize that understanding the monetary regime is the
key that unlocks the mysteries of political control in our time.
The Fed was created not to scientifically manage the economy
as the journals claimed at the time but because it met the
institutional needs of both the government and the banking industry.
The government sought a means of finance that didn't depend on taxation,
and the banking industry sought what Rothbard called a cartelization
device. That is to say, the banking industry was seeking some way
to prevent competitive pressures between banks from limiting their
ability to expand credit.
Well,
the central bank fit the bill. A central bank managing a currency
that is not tied to anything real fits the bill even better. If
a little power to inflate is good for the government and its connected
banking and financial interests, a lot of power to inflate is even
better. For this reason, it was very likely that the gold standard
could not have survived the creation of a central bank, and, for
the same reason, the creation of a new gold standard will have to
do away with the central bank that would always threaten to bring
it down.
The
power to create money is the most ominous power ever bestowed on
any human being. This power is rightly criminalized when it is exercised
by private individuals, and even today, everyone knows why counterfeiting
is wrong and knavish. Far fewer are aware of the role of the federal
government, the Fed, and the fiat dollar in making possible the
largest counterfeiting operation in human history, which is called
the world dollar standard. Fewer still understand the connection
between this officially sanctioned criminality and the business
cycle, the rise and collapse of the stock market, and the continued
erosion of the value of the dollar.
In
fact, I would venture to guess that a sizeable percentage of even
educated adults would be astounded to discover that the Federal
Reserve does more than manage the nation's money accounts, that,
in fact, its main activity consists in actually creating money that
distorts production and creates inflation and the business cycle.
In fact, I would go further to suggest that many educated adults
believe that gold continues to serve as the ultimate backing of
our monetary system, and would be astonished to discover that our
money is backed by nothing but more of itself.
We
have our work cut out for us, to be sure, mainly at the educational
level. We must continue to state the obvious at every opportunity,
that the fiat system is exactly what it is, a system of paper money
backed by nothing of real value. We must continue to point out that
because of this, our economic system is not depression proof, but
rather highly vulnerable to complete meltdown. We must continue
to draw attention to the only long-term solution: a complete separation
of money and state based on the commodity that the market has always
chosen as money, namely, gold.
Apart
from making the intellectual case, the biggest obstacle we currently
face is that most all theoretically viable plans for radical monetary
reform depend heavily on those who are currently in charge of mismanaging
our money being the ones to manage a transition. In many ways, this
is akin to expecting the politburo to have instituted a free-market
economy in Russia before the great counterrevolution. Can we really
expect that Alan Greenspan is going to wake up one day and decide
to do the right thing? It is possible, but I seriously doubt it.
I
recognize that that this problem is a real one, but it is no different
from the rest of the practical problems of instituting freedom.
When we call for spending cuts, we are implicitly calling on Congress
to do something that is against its self interest. When we call
for deregulating financial markets, we are expecting the SEC to
do the very thing it is least likely to do from a bureaucratic-pressure
group perspective. And when we call for sound money, we are similarly
expecting those who currently benefit from the present system to
have a change of heart and mind, and to act against their own interests.
This
takes us back to our original question: is the gold standard history?
Is it so preposterously unrealistic to advocate it that we might
as well move to on other things? It won't surprise you that my answer
is no. If there is one thing that a long-term view of politics teaches,
it is that only the long-term really matters.
Back
in 199798 you were considered a crabby kook, behind the times,
to warn that the bull market in tech stocks could not last. But
economic law intervened, and fashions changed. Back in those days,
too, had you suggested that the business cycle had not been repealed,
you would have been dismissed out of hand. But economic law intervened.
In
the same way, there will come a time when the current money and
banking system, living off credit created by a fiat money system,
will be stretched beyond the limit. When it happens, attitudes will
turn on a dime. No advocate of the gold standard looks forward to
the crisis nor to the human suffering that will come with it. We
do, however, look forward to the reassertion of economic law in
the field of money and banking. When it becomes incredibly obvious
that something drastic must replace the current system, new attention
will be paid to the voices that have long cast aspersions on the
current system and called for a restoration of sound money.
Must
a crisis lead to monetary reforms that we will like? Not necessarily,
and, for that matter, a crisis is not a necessary precursor to radical
reform. As Mises himself used to emphasize, political history has
no predetermined course. Everything depends on the ideas that people
hold about fundamental issues of human freedom and the place of
government. Under the right conditions, I have no doubt that a gold
standard can be completely restored, no matter how unfavorable the
current environment appears towards its restoration.
What
is essential for us today is to continue the research, the writing,
the advocacy for sound money, for a dollar that is as good as gold,
for a monetary system that is separate from the state. It is a beautiful
vision indeed, one in which the people and not the government and
its connected interest groups maintain control of their money and
its safe keeping.
What
has been true for hundreds of years remains true today. The clearest
path to the restoration of economic health is the free market undergirded
by a sound monetary system. The clearest path toward economic destruction
is for us to stop working toward what is right and true.
Llewellyn
H. Rockwell, Jr. [send
him mail], president of the Ludwig
von Mises Institute in Auburn, Alabama, and editor of LewRockwell.com,
delivered this speech at the first Burton S. Blumert Gold Conference
in San Mateo, California, September 14, 2002.
Copyright
© 2002 LewRockwell.com
Lew
Rockwell Archives
|