Confusion
and Clarity in Cancun
by
Llewellyn H. Rockwell, Jr.
by Llewellyn H. Rockwell, Jr.
The
breakdown of trade talks in Cancun, Mexico, has been rendered as
a clash of rich vs. poor nations. If that's all you knew, you might
think that this is a conventional story, and the usual political
drama would follow. The left would side with the poor on grounds
that they are being exploited by the rich in a cruel system of capitalist
global domination. The right would observe that the poor nations,
rather than joining the global trading system, are content to demand
aid and privileges that rich nations are reluctant to surrender
for good reason.
But
looking beneath the surface, we find a crazy mixed-up politics at
work in Cancun, the culmination of counter-intuitive trends that
have been building for some time. The World Trade Organization is
supposed to be this great apparatus to push the world toward greater
economic integration, a dream of the liberal school for many centuries.
In reality, it was nothing but the resurrection of an old central-planning
fallacy that world trade needs a central authority to manage it.
In absence of an ideological consensus in favor of classical liberalism,
the WTO has ended up politicizing trade by putting the stamp of
officialdom on some very bad policies (just
as many predicted).
The
rich nations (meaning, mainly, the US) swaggered into Cancun with
an aggressive, three-pronged agenda: to foist a stricter system
of investment rules (including patent and copyright enforcement)
on developing nations, to extend US-style environmental and labor
regulations to cover poorer nations, and to reduce restrictions
on exports to poor nations and foreign investment in them from the
industrialized world. What was missing here was the good will to
make a change in their own protectionist policies, much less to
reduce the production supports for their own inefficient industries.
Trade
was certainly on the agenda, but free trade as traditionally
understood was nowhere in the mix. From the beginning the WTO was
based on the idea that spiffy industrialized nations need to find
markets for their products among the sad-sack nations of the world not
that the poor nations might have something to sell that consumers
in rich nations might want to buy. That's why "intellectual property
rights" (coercive monopolies for particular producers in rich countries)
was high on the agenda but real-life free trade in agricultural
goods was off the table completely.
Nor
are the rich nations a monolith. US officials naturally assume that
they have the right to exercise hegemonic control over the world
economy, an assumption which makes EU finance ministers (embroiled
in their own harmonization controversies) very wary indeed. This
follows several years of unrelieved protectionist regulation by
the US against anyone anywhere who would dare build a better mousetrap
than is produced in the land of the free and the brave (which just
so happens to be host to the largest, best-armed, most well-funded
government in the history of the world).
Meanwhile,
poor nations arrived in Cancun with a history of bad experiences
at world trade conferences. The last time around, finance ministers
from rich nations made some perfunctory promises to address the
agricultural question, but moved on to preach to poor nations that
they had better shape up and start regulating their economies more
heavily. In particular, they were told that they need to crack down
on alleged copyright and patent abuses in their countries, raise
wages so that their workers can't "unfairly" compete with those
from industrialized nations, and start enforcing stricter environmental
laws. This is a composite agenda cobbled together by the main labor,
environmental, and business interests that are so influential in
US politics.
Now,
the problem here is obvious to anyone who knows basic economics.
The comparative advantage that poor nations have in attracting investment
and producing their own goods for exports is precisely their unregulated
labor and environmental regimes. Given that their object is to become
more competitive, not less, it would make no sense to legislate
higher wages that would only drive out capital and lead to more
unemployment. If they stand a chance for development, tighter regulations
on production are not the answer. What they need instead is an open
marketplace in which to compete using their comparative advantage.
In
the past, the anti-WTO protestors have claimed to be standing with
the poor nations of the world against capitalist globalization,
but the reality is much more complicated. By resisting the trend
to "upwardly harmonize" regulations, poor nations of the world have
stood firmly with the free-trade tradition. What they were arguing
for, in reality, is not less globalization in general but less political
globalization in order to make possible more economic globalization.
The two forces are at odds with each other.
Having
been burned too many times in the past, this time, poor nations
arrived at the talks with a set of demands of their own. If the
rich countries are going to preach about "free trade," they'd best
start living up to it themselves. That rich countries export highly
subsidized farm products to the third world, to sell at prices cheaper
than these countries can produce, is notable enough. But to then
turn around and refuse to accept imports of low-priced goods on
grounds that this constitutes "dumping," is adding injury
to insult. In demanding more open markets and fewer subsidies, poor
countries arrived with something approximating a traditional free-trade
agenda.
At
the talks, each side tried to change the subject as much as possible
until it became obvious that there was little point in talking.
The legal and regulatory reforms that the US demanded were never
seriously considered. The idea of cuts in subsidies and tariffs
was ruled out completely. Indeed, the Bush administration is moving
in the opposite direction, toward the dangerous idea of national
sufficiency that Pat
Buchanan promotes, even though it is a sure prescription for
economic depression. Of course the whole scene was punctuated by
hysterical protests from the throngs of activists that the WTO attracts
like flies to a picnic.
Then
there was the dramatic suicide of the South Korean farmer, done
not in support of free trade but in protest of the demise of the
South Korean farming industry. When will the world learn that there
are better ways than stabbing yourself or stabbing consumers to
achieve economic aims, namely, making a good product that is in
demand and attempting to sell it at a good price?
As
for the leftists who railed against globalization, they are right
to have an inchoate sense that the WTO is up to no good. Beyond
that, there is no agreement. If they are in solidarity with the
poor nations of the world, does that mean they favor cutting agricultural
subsidies in industrialized nations? That would mean job losses
of course, and further hardship for their beloved "family farms."
You can't stand with both the poor and oppressed agricultural workers
in the US and the poor and oppressed agricultural workers
in the third world; ultimately they are competition with each other,
and should be. This reality underscores why Manichean frameworks
are not very useful for understanding economics, which involves
the study of trade offs.
What's
more, the left can't simultaneously endorse the full panoply of
phony and expensive "rights" in the charter of the International
Labor Organization and link arms with the workers of the third world.
The bottom line is that if the US labor unions get their way, the
workers and peasants in the third world would find themselves without
jobs and even more destitute than they already are. The same goes
for foreign investment, which, contrary to the left, is a boon for
all poor nations. As for environmental regulations, the developing
world needs them as it needs more foreign debt.
As
for the business lobby, it needs to worry less about forcing foreign
governments to enforce their copyrights and think more about how
to compete in an increasingly competitive world. It ought to spend
at least as much time and energy reducing barriers to imports as
it does pushing for the elimination of barriers to exports. In short,
they need to stop acting so much like mercantilists and act more
like entrepreneurs.
Terence
Corcoran of the National Post is right: "The idea that
trade should be based increasingly on 'rules' and bureaucratic structures
rather than free markets is now so entrenched that few people remember
what the free trade agenda is all about." The irony is that the
WTO bears much of the blame, though there is plenty to go around.
Somehow world trade proceeded apace for the entire history of civilization
without this outfit serving as a sounding board for fanatics, protectionists,
and would-be global regulators. When so many free traders supported
the WTO's creation, were they being naïve or were they being
paid off? Regardless, the WTO is no friend of free trade (as Jagdish
Bhagwhati, and even the NBER,
have recently concluded).
Everyone
says that the collapse in Cancun could mean the end of multilateral
trade negotiations for the duration. For the cause of free trade,
there could be a downside to this, especially if it means that the
US will treat the issue of world trade with as much political finesse
as it managed the Iraq situation.
But
the upside is even more obvious. It means a setback in the movement
to upwardly harmonize regulations. It means a setback for global
government generally. It is all to the good if it means that businesses
around the world work on striking up their own deals instead of
relying on governments, and the organizations that governments create,
to do it for them.
As
a side benefit, it is now exposed for all to see, and possibly for
the first time in our generation, that industrialized nations now
represent the greatest threat to free trade. As Nagasaki University's
Dipak
Basu explains: "High tariff against the exports of industrial
goods from the poor countries cover 63 per cent of all export items
of the poor countries. High tariff rates against the exports of
agricultural products from the poor countries constitute 97.7 per
cent of all agricultural export items of the poor countries. That
is not all. Tariff rates escalate along with the amount of processing
of a natural product."
Given
this, what is needed is not another round of negotiations. Let every
nation, right now, do what is best for all citizens of the world:
eliminate every form of intervention that would prevent or otherwise
hobble mutually beneficial trade between any two parties anywhere
in the world.
September
18, 2003
Llewellyn
H. Rockwell, Jr. [send him
mail] is president of the Ludwig
von Mises Institute in Auburn, Alabama, and editor of LewRockwell.com.
Copyright
© 2003 LewRockwell.com
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