Arming Yourself for the Future
by Greg Perry
I was sad to see that AmmoMan.com, the best place on earth in my humble opinion to get ammo for the past several years, increased its prices 25% basically overnight Tuesday. AmmoMan is not alone as the news today was filled with stories about gun stores across the country running out of weapons and ammunition. The reason is obvious.
What was about $200 per case of 1,000 rounds Monday is now $249. I only checked the 7.62 stock but my friends tell me the higher prices are uniform elsewhere on all ammunition. I looked up the prices on some small pistol reloading primers I am selling on GunBroker.com right now and I was shocked to see that many mail-order companies are currently "Out of Stock" on them.
I woke up Wednesday morning without any more of a worry than I had when I awoke Tuesday morning. Was the election a death-knell for America? Well yes in many ways it was death for many things due to changes that will surely come, but as Becky Akers said so well, the sun still came up. Some eyes will be opened. Things will be worse than some predict and better than others predict.
A price will be paid by all of us.
I just wish it wasn't the price of ammunition.
Arthur Dent did not heed those words as often as he should have but if you want to be a good steward of your family's resources as I want to be, then Don't Panic.
No matter bad it will or will not get, the problems will not come for us in any immediate way. Certainly not so much so that we should accept a 25% hit on ammo.
The price increase may be greater as the next few days roll on. Here was the message atop the AmmoMan.com website today:
AMMOMAN.COM WILL NOT ACCEPT ANY NEW ORDERS FOR A DAY OR TWO
WE ARE 2000 ORDERS BEHIND AND NEED TO CATCH UP
WE WILL NOT BE TAKING PHONE OR FAX ORDERS
WE WILL NOT BE ABLE TO ANSWER THE PHONES
IT MAY TAKE UP TO 3 DAYS OR MORE TO ANSWER YOUR E-MAILS
PLEASE BE PATIENT AND WE WILL BE WORKING SATURDAY AND SUNDAY TO CATCH UP
WE WERE GETTING UP TO 800 ORDERS A DAY AND THAT'S JUST TOO MUCH FOR US
THANKS FOR YOUR UNDERSTANDING
If you live in a relatively free state that allows gun shows — and if you don't, then why don't you? — you should attend any and all shows the next few weeks to look for better prices on ammunition if you're of the mindset that you should stock up now while you still can legally.
Absolutely nothing has changed for the immediate time frame.
This is what is happening all across the country: ammo sales are skyrocketing. Just as Clinton's election was healthy for the gun industry, Barry's election will be even healthier given the death and pestilence many see him bringing to America. Right now, weapon distributors are having a great Christmas. Ammo outlets are right now trying to restock with massive supplies of ammunition.
Their current big initial orders will die down once the initial shock for all of those blind Americans who actually thought Barry would not win is past.
My conclusion is this: ammo dealers will soon have massive stockpiles they cannot keep selling in the quantities these are selling this week. Prices will be back to $200 per thousand (for 7.62x39) or whatever you were accustomed to last week for your sought-after caliber very soon.
What Do You Do?
If I am wrong, then prices will go up. Your risk should not depend on what I say but how you perceive the situation.
Although I am focused on ammo right now, many of you are focused on weapons. As ammo goes, so goes the weapons that shoot ammo. I'm going to wait it out some before adding to my ammunition supply. I think prices will soften and soften quickly.
Prices will surely go back up again when Barry is sworn in but the rise will probably not be as dramatic as this week's rise and prices will probably go back down quickly to more normal levels.
I am not a prophet! Still, as I'm telling you here I predict prices will go back down… for a while. Then they will go up for good until some unforeseeable change.
Will things get so bad that prices go through roof after he is sworn in? Of course. Will the Democrat Communists in the Senate put a 4,000% tax on ammo sales? You know the answer to that as well as I do; they sure want to.
Therefore, it is incumbent upon you to buy what you think you will need for the coming reckoning. But I suggest you do not rush into the current frenzy to pay today's prices. I believe the market will pressure these prices down before prices finally go back up again perhaps forever.
But How Much Ammo Do I Need Anyway?
You need exactly one case more than you currently have.
That is always the answer for everybody in all times no matter what your current supply is by the way.
Good Days Ahead - Perhaps 30 to 60 of them Only Though, And Not All At Once...
I think we will see windows of good price opportunity when ammo suppliers see this current rush dwindle and they see their re-orders come in by the truckloads. If you worry about today's ammo prices, stay on top of ammo web sites daily to catch the deals when they have to unload this extra supply. My conclusion of lower prices ahead is based on the laws of supply-and-demand, which are almost as reliable as the law of gravity. This is why I believe these current high prices are unsustainable.
I am open to correction if you see this situation differently.
If you think there is no turning back and that we need to buy ammo now no matter what the price I'm open to hearing what you have to say. But we are seeing worldwide commodity prices drop dramatically as the world economies are destroyed one by one by bail-out programs wrought by the Democrat Communists and Republican Communists (basically all but about one in Congress today), and their equivalents around the world.
I would love to hear if you think prices are the best today they will get in many years ahead and that they will never get better in the foreseeable future. But please give your reasonings; I have it on Good authority that iron sharpens iron.
In the meantime I'm looking for a good deal on 7.62x39 if you know of any. All I need is one more case…
November 10, 2008
Greg Perry [send him mail] is the pistol-packing author of more than 75 books. He loves to combine his favorite hobby — guns — with his second favorite — online auctions — by teaching others how to buy and sell firearms, knives, and ammo in online auctions legally and easily! eBay may not respect your freedoms but the free market does. You can comfortably buy and sell weapons-related items in a simpler-than-eBay environment by getting his profit-boosting book, Guns Galore! How to Buy and Sell Guns, Knives, and Ammo in Online Auctions Easily Without eBay!
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