Progressive Bolivian Income Tax Stopped by Angry Mobs
by
John Leo Keenan
Santa
Cruz, Bolivia, February 20, 2003
Something very momentous
happened in Bolivia, on February 12, 2003. Gonzalo Sanchez de
Lozada, president of Bolivia, had wanted to establish a progressive
national income tax for his countrymen and presented such a plan
to congress in his budget, at the beginning of February. He was
sworn in as president last August 6. He seeks to more than double
the national debt with IMF loans, plus the loans of other multilateral
agencies, in his chase of huge public infrastructure projects.
So his purpose all along has been to conform to the demands of
organizations like the IMF. The Bolivian national debt is between
4 and 5 billion dollars right now. For the sake of the economic
health of the nation, and for the next four years, president
Sanchez de Lozada declared he wants to get a total of approximately
5 billion dollars in loans, mostly from the IMF and the Interamerican
Development Bank.
Bolivia has plenty
of federal and local taxes but it is one of the few places without
a national income tax. It does have a tax that resembles, at
first glance, a national income tax; it is called "IVA,"
more on this later.
Rejection of the tax
plan was almost universal here, both among institutions and the
general public. One of the institutions against the plan was
the national police force. During the morning of February 12,
policemen and civilians were protesting in front of the Burnt
Palace, or "Palacio Quemado," Bolivia’s White House
equivalent. Shots were fired by military soldiers loyal to the
president, and the police responded in kind. More than 25 people
died right there, mostly protesters, more than 100 were wounded,
many remain gravely wounded. But the forces against the income
tax defeated the government’s plan for the rest of us Bolivians.
For by 4pm, the president,
afraid of a bigger revolution, afraid perhaps that he could soon
be lynched by the masses (something that actually happened to
a Bolivian president in the 1940s), appeared on television briefly
and announced that he was withdrawing his plan from congress.
He looked shaken. The last phrase in his speech was "God
save Bolivia," but it would have been more adequate and
better for him to say, "God bless Bolivia." A radio
commentator, right after the capitulation speech was over, mercilessly
pounced on the president for his choice of words, by saying: "He
said ‘God save Bolivia’ because he can’t save it himself."
In fairness, my sense
is that the president has good intentions with regard to the
economy. He wants policies that work. It is tragic for him and
his countrymen that his fatal problem is ignorance, total ignorance
of economics. He, together with his whole cabinet, would benefit
from reading economic articles like Lew Rockwell’s essay titled: "The
Only Honest Thing," about economic law. Unfortunately, Bolivians
don’t really have access yet to writers like, say, Joseph Sobran.
As a friend of mine told me, when I translated for him an article
by Sobran, "we don’t have writers like that here, and it
will be a long time before we have them." Bullets like the
ones he fires are unknown in this part of the world. I have translated
Rockwell’s persuasive essay to Spanish and hope that I can get
it to president Sanchez de Lozada.
In
his "budget" plan,
the big, sticky issue was always the tax issue. People making
1000 Bolivianos, that is 132 dollars per month (at today’s exchange
rate), were scheduled to pay a tax of 2 dollars per month (1.5%).
Those making double that, 2000 Bolivianos (264 dollars), were
scheduled to pay 18.50 dollars per month in taxes (or 7%). Those
making 3000 Bolivianos or 397 dollars, were scheduled to pay
35 dollars monthly (8.8%). Those making 5000 Bolivianos
or 661 dollars per month, were scheduled to pay an income tax
of 69 dollars per month (10.3%). Finally, all those making
more than 661 dollars were scheduled to pay 12.5% per month,
the top income tax rate.
There is a 13% flat
tax instituted already that comes close to being a national income
tax. It’s called "impuesto al valor agregado" (IVA)
or "tax on aggregated value." The thing about this
tax, however, is that you can discount it by showing the receipts
of the purchases you’ve made during the previous 4 months. Of
course, "everybody" buys receipts from a large black
market in receipts, to the full extent of their salary, so nobody
really pays the IVA. Private business people will pay a part
of it to dissimulate.
What Sanchez de Lozada
purported to do was to actually lower the IVA to 12.5 but get
rid of the receipts system. The taxes were to be collected directly
by the employer and given to the government. Up to now, businesses
don’t have such a responsibility. Every private person or business
has to pay his or its IVA directly to the government.
To
give you a better idea about this situation, those making more
than 661 dollars
per month are 6% of Bolivia’s population; in the plan, they
would have paid for 47% of all national income taxes (about 90
million dollars); those making between 330 dollars and 661 dollars
would have paid 34 % of the tax total, and those making up to
330 dollars per month, that is 79 % of the population, would
have accounted for the remaining 19 percent tax collection. Small
numbers by American standards but $US 18.50 in monthly taxes
is a lot to someone working full time and making only 264 dollars
per month.
Bolivians are quite
an anarchic people by nature, but confused about political economy.
For instance, most really consider their president "neoliberal,"
meaning classical liberal; free market policies are identified
with "neoliberalism." IMF policies are also identified
as "neoliberalism." President Sanchez de Lozada is
usually described by even the international media as a "liberal
president," something which he heatedly and correctly denies.
Much of the public here is identifying the progressive income
tax with "neoliberal" policies imposed by the IMF,
while in their mind the president is considered to be in cahoots
with the IMF and other imperialists.
The president is a
strong-minded individual and a talented multimillionaire in his
own right (owner of the biggest gold mines in Bolivia and he
started small). He has a majority coalition in the congress.
He would have been able to pass his income tax through the congress
and make it law. But after this horrific confrontation, I think
the progressive income tax movement will be history in Bolivia
for a long time to come; politicians know now that it would be
self-destructive to try to impose that tax on those who can barely
make ends meet; such citizens are scot-free now and for good.
Bolivians are far more sensitive to violent deaths than they
used to be.
For it’s not the first
time the Bolivian people have taken matters into their own hands.
The Bolivian president who was lynched in the 1940s died in the
same square where the protesters died this week, right in front
of the Burnt Palace. Yes, he was dragged out of the Palace. In
the 1860s, president Manuel Belzu was addressing a large crowd
in the square, from the balcony of Palacio Quemado. The crowd
was chanting: "Long Live Belzu." History books record
that Belzu’s eventual successor, Mariano Melgarejo, accompanied
by a few men, went into the Palace riding his horse. Shots were
heard inside. Then Melgarejo stood in that balcony, and yelled: "Belzu
is dead, who lives now?" Yes, the crowd responded: "Long
live Melgarejo."
And it is said that
this nation has had more military coups than any other nation
in the world, although it has had peaceful democratic transitions
since 1981.
Bolivians at large
may be confused about political economy but they sure know when
someone is trying to pick their pocket. And, in our day and age,
they deserve a lot of credit for that knowledge, and, above all,
for resisting so bravely. Gonzalo Sanchez de Lozada cut his losses
short as he had to, because in anarchic Bolivia, one can rely
upon it, somebody loony like Hugo Chavez or suicidal like Saddam
Hussein, would already have been overthrown by fellas who bite
the bullet. Many people here will forever remember the big headline,
in the front page of a major local newspaper, which said it all: "The ‘Big
Tax’ was erased with blood."
So now the government
has decided to do something more feasible to get IMF loans. It
announced yesterday that it has decided to cut the number of
ministries from 18 to 12 and the number of viceministries from
53 to 38. Among the ministries set to disappear are that of foreign
trade, the financial services ministry, and the municipal development
ministry. "General Directorates" will be reduced from
111 to 81. It is estimated that a new law, to be called "Organization
Law of the Executive Power," will seek to reduce the total
number of hierarchical positions from 181 to 137.
You
can bet safely that president Sanchez de Lozada will in the end
get a lot of
money from the IMF and its sister organizations. Somebody bigger
needs to stand against such organizations, and against confiscatory
measures like the progressive income tax, with the kind of bravery
Bolivians have shown the world. At the end, the American people
will have to make their own stand.
John
Leo Keenan [send him mail]
is an economist and translator in Santa Cruz, Bolivia.
Copyright
© 2003 LewRockwell.com
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