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Sunday, July 6, 2003

Let the mass looting begin
Bush's grand deal with Congress: Give me my war, and I'll give you vast new spending programs

 
 
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LewRockwell.com

The two big demands in President George W. Bush's Jan. 28 State of the Union address were for the government to go to war with Iraq and for new domestic spending programs, among which he included the vast expansion of Medicare now barreling through Washington. That winter of our discontent has led directly to a long hot summer in which our tax dollars are being torched. At least he gave fair warning.

In retrospect, it is clear what he was really saying to the Democrats: You give me my war and I'll give you your socialism. The original idea between separating executive and legislative power was to have one check the power of the other. Government is stupid but not that stupid: Cooperating in a mass looting of the public turns out to be a win-win proposition for everyone but those paying the bills.

That's not to say that war and socialism are not designed to address real problems. Just as prior military interventions seemed to create the conditions and a rationale for the war on Iraq, the expansion of Medicare seems to be driven by systematic problems in the system that were crying out for a solution. That's the nature of government, always fixing problems of its own creation that create ever more problems for government to fix. It's like the plumber who breaks more pipes than he repairs - except that you can't fire him.

It was Ludwig von Mises' point that interventions in the market economy create instability that generates dislocations that seem to call for more intervention - and so on until the logical result is socialism. I emphasize logical result; the practical reality is not written in stone. With political courage and ideological conviction, it is possible to change course.

A trillion-dollar transfer

This huge expansion of Medicare is a clear case of a wrongheaded intervention designed to repair other bad policies and destined to create more bad outcomes. It will guarantee vast drug payments to seniors (welfare) in exchange for a flat monthly premium. The higher your bills, the more government pays. The poorer you are, the less you pay. The plan is complicated and not final, but the result is a foregone conclusion: the coercive transfers of another trillion dollars (over time) from working younger and middle-age Americans to older Americans already too dependent on government.

The bill's passage is made inevitable by the soaring costs of prescription drugs (in part, due to patent laws and inflated demand due to existing medical socialism), the guaranteed income that comes to medical service providers and drug companies from a government subsidy, and the growing expectation on the part of old people and their middle-aged children that "society" ought to pick up the bill for the costs of aging.

Consider the absurdity of the proposed solution to the problem of high costs: Pass a law and make them affordable! No one would consider this a solution in normal life. Let's say you are at the grocery checkout line and the cashier shocks you with a $150 bill. Let's say you respond by saying: The government must pass a grocery-benefit bill to lower the amount I have to pay. The cashier would laugh uncomfortably and hope that you would soon be on your way. Try it with the car dealer, the real estate agent, or the airlines: They will all think you are nuts.

Yet when it comes to government, reasonable people are under the impression that the costs of prescription drugs can somehow be whisked away by the right kind of legislation. Sure, some people benefit, but others are paying the tab in one form or another. Let's not pretend this is really "insurance"; it's welfare, the coerced transfer of wealth from one group to another, as immoral as it is inefficient. And further subsidizing and therefore increasing the demand for drugs is hardly designed to cut their costs. Just the opposite.

How costly will it be? Look at the demographics. In 1900, only 40 percent of the population lived beyond the age of 65; now 80 percent do, while 40 percent live past the age of 85. In the postwar period, the biggest change involves the vast numbers that see their 90th and 100th birthdays - extremely rare a century ago.

The gerontology industry

Those who credit government programs with this progress are partially correct: Government has subsidized the prolongation of life at the expense of other social needs, simply by taxing the heck out of young and middle-age people to fund a medical establishment dedicated to pushing the life span limits through ever more impressive life-sustaining gizmos and drugs. This has given rise to a huge and largely socialized gerontology industry that does nothing but serve the needs of people who live a decade longer than they might have before LBJ created Medicare and Medicaid. But instead of giving us long lives, the government has given us long and expensive deaths during which the public sector and its connected interests benefit at the expense of the rest of us.

The fiscal problem results from the reversal of the numbers of young and middle-age taxpayers vs. old people living on the dole. As the costs of a non-working long life rise, the pool of the population working to pay the bills continues to shrink. The costs themselves continue to rise because the old-age health economy is increasingly immune from the competitive forces of market discipline.

Pushing the bill on others

Many experts have persuasively argued that the programs face unthinkable long-term liabilities and will go belly up in a few decades. No one disputes the claim. But why should today's old people, who lobby for ever more benefits, care what happens to old people 30 years hence? They should. But leaving the check for the next patron, especially given the perception that they should get something out of the system, seems to be the democratic thing to do.

Today's young people, meanwhile, aren't entirely unhappy to be let off the hook for shelling out for their elderly parents' medical care. The doctors and drug companies are glad to take the cash, the bureaucrats are not displeased by the security the system gives them, and, as for the political class, few members of this group think about much more than the next act of legal extortion and bribery.

The idea of turning the health-care sector over to the market is not even part of the debate. For the most part, we trust the market to deliver food, energy, housing, clothing, electronics, entertainment, etc., but somehow, when it comes to health, we are pleased to let government take full control and loot the population in the process.

The Bush administration perfunctorily toyed with the idea of making prescription drug coverage contingent on participation in a subsidized private health insurance program, but that idea was quickly shot down. Even the Wall Street Journal, which is one of the few opinion organs to condemn the Medicare expansion, endorsed two government programs as an alternative: a "drug discount card" and a "means-tested subsidy." It is a small step from these to the proposal now being shoved through the Washington meat grinder.

If we take a look at all the sectors in which government socialism is expanding most dramatically - whether education, health or security - we find that they are ones where the government has been heavily involved for the longest and failed the most miserably. These failures breed more failures to be "fixed" by more programs that inevitably fail. On the other hand, sectors that are relatively free of political involvement (high-tech, for example) are largely left to the dictates of the marketplace. There are few evident failures that seem to call forth political solutions.

More Subsidies, more regulations

The intervention in health care began with the licensing of doctors and the restriction of competition to keep their incomes high, continued with the suppression of non-establishment medical schools to further restrict supply, and ramped up with third-party payments systems during wartime in lieu of wage increases then forbidden by law, and further bolstered with faux-insurance programs to circumvent Soviet-style taxation.

It continued with tightened patent restrictions on drugs, new subsidies for low-income and older citizens, and became ever greater with more and more government funding, rules, restrictions, mandates, taxes and subsidies - all of which seem to grow more under Republican rule (when these ideas are deemed "responsible governance") than Democratic rule (when these ideas are fought as socialistic). This is a system that has been patched so often that it can't possibly sustain itself over the long run.

What is the solution? No one wants to contemplate it: We must reverse the intergenerational looting. The young should stop paying in. The old should start paying market prices. The sad stories of older people who do not have the means to care for themselves or buy drugs should stimulate the efforts of private charities (though their care would then cost much less). Drug companies should compete in a free market without federally granted monopolies.

All of us need to stop treating the national pool of wealth the way the Iraqi mobs treated Saddam's palaces after the war. And the next time a president promises a thrilling war and free goodies for everyone, we might exercise a bit more critical intelligence.


The editor of Lewrockwell.com is founder and president of the Mises Institute in Auburn, Ala., and vice president of the Center for Libertarian Studies in Burlingame, Calif.
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