How To Get Rich . . . and Why
by
Gary North
by Gary North
Recently by Gary North: The
'Save America Plan' 54,376 – and It Will Be Self-Funding!
Most Westerners
are rich in the opinion of Asian farmers. Yet most Westerners do
not think of themselves as rich. They do think of Asian farmers
as poor.
Then who is
rich? We think: "The guy three rungs up the financial ladder." So
does he.
The richest
people on earth are residents of Western semi-capitalist nations.
They enjoy a standard of living that kings in 1900 would not have
dreamed of.
Think of medical
care. Kings lost children to killer diseases that are no longer
a statistical threat in the West. Kings did not have high fidelity
stereo music at their disposal. They did not have movies. They did
not have cell phones. They did not have air conditioning. They did
have anesthetics (1844). They were somewhat better off than kings
in 1840.
What did they
have that you don't have? They had servants. They had summer palaces.
They had yachts. They had mistresses. Would you trade places with
any of them?
Yet most Westerners
dream of getting rich. By the standards of history, they are indescribably
rich. By the standards of rural Asia, they are indescribably rich.
The rich do not perceive this.
Rich is a
matter of perception. The rural Indian does not dream of becoming
American middle-class rich. He dreams of becoming Mumbai middle-class
rich.
"I want to
go to America," said a childhood friend of Dinesh D'Sousa in Mumbai.
"Why?" D'Sousa asked. "Because in America, poor people are fat."
BARRIERS
TO RICHES
Most people
cannot get rich. Most people are just too lazy.
Second, "rich"
is a moving target. When the economy grows at 2% per annum, year
after year, everyone gets twice as rich in 35 years. This is the
law of 70. Divide the annual increase into 70, and that's the doubling
date. But if everyone is twice as rich, the problem of defining
"rich" persists.
We measure
our personal wealth by those around us. We do not measure it by
a rural mother in India who makes extra money as a rag-picker. We
also do not measure wealth by Warren Buffett. We do not worry about
becoming the former. We do not dream about becoming the latter.
Third, there
is the inescapable problem of positional goods. This phenomenon
was identified a generation ago by economist Fred Hirsch. There
are just so many positional goods available. Think of trophy wives.
If every woman were a potential trophy wife, the trophies would
be meaningless. Trying to buy positional goods is rather like trying
to see a playing field better by standing up in the middle of a
game. It's extra effort, and it will attract opposition. If you
block another person's view, he will stand up. The person behind
him will stand up. Pretty soon, everyone is standing up. Then someone
stands on his seat. And so forth.
The primary
marks of wealth are positional goods: scenic property that the public
cannot access, large houses not visible from the road, antiques
that people with greater net worth want to buy, and above
all inherited social position that old money once bought,
but new money can't.
Fourth, there
is the inescapable problem of uncertainty, sometimes called risk.
It's not risk that keeps us from getting rich. It's uncertainty.
Risk is the threat of having your house burn down. You can insure
against this. It's part of a widespread threat. There are mathematical
formulas that let us hedge against risk.
Uncertainty
is different. It is not part of a statistically identifiable class
of events. You cannot insure against it.
When you start
a business, there is no insurance policy that protects you against
failure. If there were, your comparative economic returns on the
business venture would be predictable. You would not get richer
than anyone else in the industry. Everyone on average would do as
well as his competitors. The words "on average" refer to statistical
regularity.
Most middle-class
people resist taking on additional uncertainty. They are more afraid
of losing what they have than they are desirous of accumulating
more wealth. This is the mindset of the middle class: "Enough is
enough." It is the desire for security. It is the desire to buy
insurance against failure. There is an insurance premium: the surrender
of comparative success.
How do most
people expect to do attain security? Through politics. They see
the state as the great insurer. Textbooks teach this from early
grades and extend through grad school. Their teachers at
least until grad school are living incarnations of this outlook.
Teachers are insulated from failure. Also from riches (except in
the top grad schools).
The only way
you can get rich in business is to bear the responsibility of getting
poor or else getting a government handout. But even here,
there is uncertainty. Think "Lehman Brothers." Goldman Sachs did
very well. In the middle was Morgan Stanley. Merrill Lynch got swallowed
by Bank of America. And so it went. Big winners, big losers.
On average,
common taxpayers will pay more than otherwise because of the bailouts.
This will go on until the great default: a government default on
either its debt or the dollar. Lots of losers. A few winners. Such
is life.
Most people
are common taxpayers. They will not get rich. The system is structured
against them. They know this from an early age. They decide early
to define themselves as winners or losers within a narrow range
of taxpaying losers. They see economic success as paying fewer taxes,
proportionally, than the others. They see it as getting more out
of the government than they pay into it. They see it as milking
but not being milked. They see economic success as "Don't tax you.
Don't tax me. Tax the guy behind the tree."
Yet, because
of invested capital and its product, economic growth, most of us
are winners. We get richer. We will never pick rags in India.
DEFINING
"RICH"
I have a peculiar
definition of "rich." It is easy to understand. I know almost no
one who has achieved it.
"You
are rich when you quit your wage-earning job and pursue your life's
top goal without ever drawing a paycheck again."
Note: I did
not say "when you can afford to quit." I know lots of people who
are rich by that definition. But they don't quit. This includes
me.
The proof
of the pudding is in the eating. The proof of riches is to unlock
the golden handcuffs, hand them back to their owner, and walk away.
But what if
you love your job? It pays a lot, you say, but you would be willing
to do it for free.
Then do it
for free.
Why?
To get rid
of the golden handcuffs. Do not depend on them.
Over 30 years
ago, I counseled people who subscribed to "The Ruff Times." I got
a call from someone who said she worked for Lily Tomlin. Maybe she
did. She asked how Miss Tomlin could earn a lot of money and also
support her causes without paying any taxes. I told her that Miss
Tomlin could set up a charitable foundation, contract her performances
through the foundation, and give away every dime without paying
the government.
Any rich person
could do this. They don't. They keep piling up the money. They cannot
bring themselves to remove the golden handcuffs.
Why do I define
"rich" this way? Because of this Bible verse:
The
days of our years are threescore years and ten; and if by reason
of strength they be fourscore years, yet is their strength labour
and sorrow; for it is soon cut off, and we fly away (Psalm 90:10).
Warren Buffett
is 78. You will never attain the balance sheet of Warren Buffett.
Forget about it. It's over.
Would you
trade places with him? Not if you're 30. Would he trade places with
you? In a heartbeat which is the correct metaphor. He has
fewer of them remaining. The marginal value of each remaining heartbeat
keeps rising.
I know what
economics teaches. We cannot make interpersonal comparisons of subjective
utility. I am not sure, as an economist, that if an exchange were
possible, the total monetary value of your remaining heartbeats
is greater to him than the total monetary value of his is to you.
Also, I am not a betting man. But I would bet that no exchange would
be forthcoming if you are under age 50.
I could be
wrong. Maybe his billions would let you finance your dream. Maybe
you would sacrifice your heartbeats for his money. Maybe.
Would you?
Ask yourself this:
"At
what annual investments-generated passive income level would I take
off the golden handcuffs and spend all of my newly attained time
on my dream?"
Heartbeats-wise,
you are making the Buffett trade-off every time you go to work.
You are trading your heartbeats for wages.
I do the same.
But I am not rich. Rich is as rich does.
Buffett is
rich only in this sense: he sees his highest contribution in life
to increase his net worth financially. Now that he is giving away
his money to the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, he is probably
correct, given his atheism. Melinda Gates is using most of the money
to reduce the death rate of poverty-stricken children. She has adopted
a cost-benefit strategy: the most lives saved for the money spent.
This is sensible. I hope she and her advisors become ever-more efficient.
If Buffett
sees his task in life as saving poor children, with his entrepreneurial
skills as the means, then he is a rich man. His handcuffs are worn
for the sake of those children. But if he is wears them to prove
that he can beat the market, he has a problem. He is not rich. The
richer he gets in dollars (or foreign currencies), the poorer he
gets in heartbeats. He will lose.
The central
issue of wealth is this: "What is my expected net value for my remaining
heartbeats, and why?"
Not many people
see things this way. This is why not many people will ever get rich.
You don't
know how much money you can accumulate. You do know how much time
you can accumulate: none. It's really quite simple.
We don't accumulate
time. We spend it.
You may not
believe in Peak Oil. You had better believe in Peak Time.
People say
they need to accumulate money for their old age. They see that Peak
Time is behind them. Time is visibly running out. Some day, it may
be drooling out. So, they keep on the golden handcuffs.
Was Mother
Teresa poor or rich? Rich. She ran a huge operation from a little
building in India, using a manual typewriter. I know this for a
fact. I once received a letter from her. She did not trade her heartbeats
for a salary. She wore no golden handcuffs.
PLANNING
TO BE RICH
Is there anything
you can do to get rich? For most people, the answer is to start
a business, work 12 hours a day, six days a week, and then, when
it goes bankrupt (statistically, it will), start another one.
That is stage
one. Stage two is to sell it to someone who wants to make money
rather than be rich. Your asking price should be enough passive
income to finance the rest of your life.
Will you spend
your life playing golf? Then I suggest starting a business related
to golfing.
I am saying
that the first step in getting rich is to identify precisely what
you will do with your money after you quit working to accumulate
money.
When I say
"precisely," I mean precisely enough to create a budget for it.
This budget must contain two elements: income/outflow of money,
and income/outflow of time.
How do you
increase your inflow of time? Mostly by lifestyle. Adopt a lifestyle
that extends life expectancy. Don't count on doing this by more
than 20%. Even that would be statistically abnormal.
Once you have
this budget set, you must plan your life to achieve this level of
accumulated wealth. When you reach it, take off the golden handcuffs.
You will find this even more difficult than losing weight and keeping
it off, which few people can do.
If you think
this goal is unattainable, then try to find a trade-off between
wages and time. It takes a self-conscious effort to cut back on
wage-earning time in order to buy dream-attaining time.
CONCLUSION
When men reach
middle age, they face a decision point: success vs. significance.
If a man defines
success as being different from significance, this decision point
is a big one. Mid-life crisis is associated with it.
If he regards
success as significance, he may have to make a career change. Most
men's careers are not geared to significance.
The larger
your allocation of time to significance, the better. The earlier
you begin, the better. The justification for focusing on money rather
than significance is that you need to accumulate a lot of money
to finance your significance. When you reach your goal, turn in
the golden handcuffs.
August
17, 2009
Gary
North [send him mail] is the
author of Mises
on Money. Visit http://www.garynorth.com.
He is also the author of a free 20-volume series, An
Economic Commentary on the Bible.
Copyright ©
2009 Gary North
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