The libertarian
humorist P. J. O’Rourke says, "When you think of the good
old days, think ‘dentistry.’"
The greatest
invention of the modern world is anesthetics. Prior to 1844, in
preparation for an operation, you drank booze until you passed
out hopefully. Then the physician "sawbones,"
he was called got started hacking away.
Although
you may not go under anesthetics more than once a decade, what
would you pay on a desert island for the last can of ether when
it was time for your operation? People will not give up access
to anesthetics.
As for a
familiar indispensable item in daily use, toilet paper comes to
mind. That was invented in 1857, according to some
Websites. The perforated roll came in 1867.
In other
words, some very big breakthroughs came late in the history of
civilization.
LIFE
IN 1904
Recently,
Richard Russell reprinted a document that is being sent around
the Internet. It’s a list of
conditions in 1904. I have not checked out the truth of each
detail, but in general they sound reasonable to me. Here is the
list.
-
The average
life expectancy in America was 47.
-
Only
14% of the homes in the U.S. had a bathtub.
-
18% of
American households had at least one full-time servant or
domestic.
-
Only
8% of the homes had a telephone.
-
A three-minute
call from Denver to New York City cost $11.
-
Sugar
cost $0.04/pound. Eggs were $0.14/dozen. Coffee cost $0.15/pound.
-
There
were only 8,000 cars in the U.S. and only 144 miles of paved
roads.
-
The maximum
speed limit in most cities was 10 mph.
-
Alabama,
Mississippi, Iowa, and Tennessee were each more heavily populated
than California. With a mere 1.4 million residents, California
was only the 21st most populated state in the Union.
-
The average
wage in the U.S. was $0.22/hour.
-
The average
American worker made between $200$400/year.
-
A competent
accountant could expect to earn $2000/year, a dentist $2,500/year,
a veterinarian between $1,500$4,000/year, and a mechanical
engineer about $5,000/year.
-
More
than 95% of all births in the U.S. took place at home.
-
90% of
all U.S. physicians had no college education. Instead, they
attended medical schools, many of which were condemned in
the press and by the government as "substandard."
-
The
five leading causes of death in the US were:
Is it really
this bad today? It really is. The good old days, educationally,
really were good.
This was
equally true in 1910. The good old days were better. Consider
this:
"According
to the Connecticut census of 1840, only one citizen out of every
579 was illiterate and you probably don’t want to know, not
really, what people in those days considered literate; it’s
too embarrassing. Popular novels of the period give a clue:
‘Last of the Mohicans’, published in 1826, sold so well that
a contemporary equivalent would have to move 10 million copies
to match it. If you pick up an uncut version you find yourself
in a dense thicket of philosophy, history, culture, manners,
politics, geography, analysis of human motives and actions,
all conveyed in data-rich periodic sentences so formidable only
a determined and well-educated reader can handle it nowadays.
Yet in 1818 we were a small-farm nation without colleges or
universities to speak of. Could those simple folk have had more
complex minds than our own?"
Or this:
"In
1882, fifth graders read these authors in their Appleton School
Reader: William Shakespeare, Henry Thoreau, George Washington,
Sir Walter Scott, Mark Twain, Benjamin Franklin, Oliver Wendell
Holmes, John Bunyan, Daniel Webster, Samuel Johnson, Lewis Carroll,
Thomas Jefferson, Ralph Waldo Emerson, and others like them.
In 1995, a student teacher of fifth graders in Minneapolis wrote
to the local newspaper, ‘I was told children are not to be expected
to spell the following words correctly: back, big, call, came,
can, day, did, dog, down, get, good, have, he, home, if, in,
is, it, like, little, man, morning, mother, my, night, off,
out, over, people, play, ran, said, saw, she, some, soon, their,
them, there, time, two, too, up, us, very, water, we, went,
where, when, will, would, etc. Is this nuts?’ "
"In
1910, only 6% of all Americans had graduated from high school."
Today, millions have graduated, but is their education equal to
sixth grade in 1910? In the best high schools, of course it is.
I’m talking about the typical high school. I’m talking about the
typical graduate.
My friend
Bertel Sparks taught at Duke Law School for years. For his entering
students, he passed out an essay on property written by Blackstone.
It was from "Commentaries," published in 1765. It was
the law book for English lawyers. He had them discuss the essay
in the following class. They always had great difficulty. The
essay was over their heads.
Then he would
hold up the source of the essay: the Sixth McGuffey Reader.
He said this exercise stomped the arrogance out of them early.
"LET
THE GOVERNMENT DO IT!"
The Federal
Reserve System has a government-granted monopoly of control over
the commercial banking system. The tax-funded schools have no
comparable monopoly, but in terms of the amount of money spent
on pre-college education, tax-funded schools receive most of it.
If you don’t believe me, consider this. If cities allowed parents
of today’s home-schoolers and private school students to skip
paying that portion of property taxes going to pre-college education,
the tax-funded school system would survive this year’s funding
shortfall. (Next year, however, there would be a growing problem.)
There is
a pattern of failure here. It relates to government.
There
is parallel pattern: success. It also relates to government,
and the absence thereof.
"The
average life expectancy in America was 47."
Today, life
expectancy at birth for American females is 80 years. A male’s
life expectancy is 74.
Medical technology
has made us healthier. Sulfa drugs made major contributions two
generations ago, as have antibiotics. Medical research is influenced
by government money and regulations, but most of the basic research
is funded by the private sector. The health food industry, gymnasiums,
and the exercise device market are generally not receiving tax
money.
Degenerative
diseases kill us, not plagues and epidemics. These scourges are
no longer a widespread threat: Pneumonia and influenza; Tuberculosis;
Diarrhea. Our children will bury us a great gift of modern
technology. Private capital investment made this a reality.
"Only
14% of the homes in the U.S. had a bathtub."
As
of 2001, there were 681,000 dwelling units with no bathtub or
shower. This is out of a total of 106,262,000 units.
"18%
of American households had at least one full-time servant or
domestic."
We can’t
afford to hire household servants because wages are too high outside
the home. The free market economy, through capital investment
and its accompanying productivity, has produced employment opportunities
that are superior outside the home. Household servants tend to
be female and recent immigrants, with or without green cards.
"Only
8% of the homes had a telephone."
As for telephones,
the number of phone lines, including digital non-lines, has increased
dramatically ever since de-regulation, when the Bell companies
and AT&T lost their government-granted monopolies. Costs have
fallen dramatically since the mid-1970s. Phone cards at Wal-Mart
indicate how far they have fallen. Now, with Skype
providing free internet phone service, prices will fall even more.
"The
population of Las Vegas, Nevada was 30."
The country
would be better off if it still were. That city is based on faith
in luck, despite rules that favor the house statistically. Men
have substituted faith in luck for faith in law. They have substituted
faith in gambling for faith in thrift, meaning sacrifice today
for the sake of tomorrow.
"There
were only about 230 reported murders in the entire U.S."
Here, we
see the heart of the problem: the breakdown of law and order.
The self-government of Americans has slowly declined. Along with
this process has been the increase of laws on the books and money
spent on law enforcement.
I detect
a pattern here.
CONCLUSION
Think dentistry.
Things are better. Think taxes. Things are much worse. In 1910,
there was no federal income tax. There was no FICA tax. Think
government regulation. Think crime. Think divorce. Things are
worse.
Where men
have been left free to choose, things are generally better. Freedom
to choose doesn’t make Las Vegas go away, but it does let people
who lose at Las Vegas suffer the consequences. Medicare and Social
Security have become hoped-for aces (or at least deuces) in the
hole for gambling addicts. When it comes to house rules, Medicare
and Social Security are stacked against late-comers.
The lesson
is this: you must put your money where the record shows progress
in capital, not in slot machines. You must build a stream
of income, not rely on the government’s house.
The closer
an investment market is to government regulation and "free"
government money, the more likely you will find your investment
coming up snake eyes.