A Muzzle on the
Mouth of the State
by Ryan McMaken and
Derek Johnson
[Posted on
Tuesday, January 03, 2006] [To receive the Daily Article in
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Beginning
in the late 1970's, anti-tax activists began to use new tools to
limit the ability of state and local governments to raise taxes.
Ironically, these anti-tax movements would employ a tool introduced
into American politics by the Progressives of the early
20th century. The ballot initiative process, pushed
by the Progressives as part of a populist agenda to make government
more "responsive," met the most success in the West where ballot
initiative provisions were integrated into several state
constitutions. The Progressives had intended that the initiative
process make government more robust, yet the process has been used
successfully to pass some of the most stringent tax control measures
in the nation's history.
Among the most
famous of these is California's Proposition 13, a property tax
limitation measure known for having set off a "tax revolt" in the
late 1970's. The strongest and broadest tax limitation measure
in the country, however, is the "Taxpayers' Bill of Rights" (TABOR)
added by initiative to the Colorado constitution in 1992. "Amendment
1," as it was called, was put to the voters through the standard
initiative process of collecting a required number of signatures
from voters requesting that a specific amendment be added to the
ballot. TABOR was approved by the voters, and ever since has acted
as a significant barrier to government growth and spending in the
state. The amendment, lauded by tax-control proponents and
detested by many whose fortunes are linked to ready access to tax
funds, remains a model for tax-limitation proponents in other
states.
The measure
remains highly controversial and is considered "extreme" by many in
Colorado, but from a libertarian point of view, the measure is
actually quite moderate. TABOR enables government to grow every
year, yet the fact that the growth rate is limited by the
Constitution has produced heated rhetoric about "starving the
government to death" and forcing "massive cuts" in "essential"
government programs. Such rhetoric rather overstates the situation.
When compared to other states, and certainly compared to the federal
government, government growth in Colorado is in fact quite
restrained and has clearly slowed since TABOR was approved in
1992.
If one's goal
is to shrink government to a tiny portion of its current size, TABOR
is by no means a cure-all. The voters can - and do – approve new tax
and revenue increases fairly often, and the governments of the state
have hardly withered away to nothing. The state, unlike the federal
government, has no central bank to print the money up if taxpayers
do not approve taxes. If TABOR's purpose is to slow the rate of
government growth and to allow the private sector to grow at a
faster rate than the government sector, it has certainly done its
job.
The TABOR
experience in Colorado can be instructive in how governments and
interest groups respond to limitations on the government's ability
to raise revenue. It illustrates well the business community's
considerable fondness for government-funded amenities, and it
exposes a fundamentally hostile relationship between many voters and
the government. While the ballot initiative process has numerous
shortcomings as a tool to limit government power, TABOR has
nevertheless shown that when used as an additional barrier to the
passage of tax increases, it can be an effective
tool.
The Origins
of TABOR
When it passed
in 1992, "Amendment 1" was the latest iteration of tax limitation
measures authored by anti-tax activist Douglas Bruce. Bruce's
first attempt at limiting state or local taxing authority appeared
in 1986 as a voter authorization requirement for new or increased
taxes. That attempt failed, so Bruce endeavored to get similar
measures passed in 1988 and 1990, each of which failed but with the
margin of defeat shrinking with each successive attempt. Two
years later, Bruce introduced Amendment 1, a much stronger tax
limitation measure compared to his 1986 and 1988 proposals, and the
amendment passed to the considerable dismay of the local political
establishment. Indeed it was quite frightening for those who
depended on the largesse of the state, for Amendment 1 was the most
stringent law of its kind in the nation, far more limiting on
government than any of the tax proposals passed by other tax
limitation pioneers like Howard Jarvis or Paul
Gann.
The amendment's
organized supporters were not numerous. The campaign to pass the
measure enjoyed the support of The National Taxpayers Union and the
Colorado Union of Taxpayers, but few other high profile
organizations signed on. The opposition, on the other hand
could boast of a veritable "who's who" list of influential
policymakers and statewide interest groups. Numerous former
and current legislators joined the "No on 1" campaign as did a
multitude of local government officials. The arts and culture lobby
joined with chambers of commerce, economic development corporations,
numerous labor unions, public school pressure groups, and all major
media outlets to defeat the measure.
The opponents
claimed that the amendment would destroy the "deliberative"
law-making process that allegedly takes place in legislatures, and
that it would not allow the state government to engage in long-term
planning. Common Sense Colorado declared that "efficient planning
and management of resources would be impossible." The Greater Denver
Chamber of Commerce called the measure "incredibly harmful and
irrational." The Colorado Association of Commerce and Industry
stated that "the provision irreparably undermines the principle of
representative government…In a democracy, we do not cripple public
officials who do not do the public's will. We replace
them." In the end, many just dismissed the proponents of the
measure as cranks, as did John Lay, chairman of the No on 1 campaign
who concluded that the proponents didn't understand their own
position and that "they just want to be disruptive."
The campaign
against TABOR also illustrated quite well that big business does not
prefer a laissez-faire political environment. Chambers of commerce
and other business associations, fearful that TABOR would mean cuts
in public education, government-paid tourism advertising,
infrastructure, and corporate subsidies, opposed the
measure.
Dire
predictions of economic collapse accompanied most arguments against
TABOR. Opponents concluded that no one would want to invest in or
move to a state where government agencies were not awash in tax
funds. Opponents predicted that violent criminals would have
to be let out of prison, and that emergency services would have to
be cut back so severely that 911 emergency calls would no longer be
answered. Highways would fall into disrepair, illiteracy and
ignorance would sweep the countryside, and Colorado would become, in
the words of a popular local saying, "worse than
Mississippi."
However, the
best efforts of big business, unions, the entire public school
establishment, and state and local government officials were not
enough to defeat the measure. TABOR was approved and became
Article X, Section 20 of the Colorado State Constitution.
So what exactly
does TABOR do? TABOR restricts the growth of government
through tax limitation, prohibitions of certain types of taxation,
and institutes a unique system of revenue and spending caps.
TABOR is a tax control measure. It requires that any new
taxes, any increase of tax rates, and any new debt incurred by
governments must be approved by the voters in an election. TABOR
prohibits the use of certain kinds of taxes, stating that
"new or increased transfer tax rates on real property are
prohibited. No new state real property tax or local district income
tax shall be imposed." It also prohibits progressive taxation
on income.
TABOR limits
the rate of increase in revenue collection and spending of the state
government and of the local governments in Colorado. It does this by
means of a revenue cap that allows the government to grow at a
maximum rate of "inflation plus population growth." In reality,
however, the state can only spend at this inflationary growth
rate. The growth rate allowed for tax revenue is in fact
capped at 6% due to a statute[ii] passed years earlier but made unchangeable
by TABOR. So, state tax revenue can only grow by 6% each year
although the state can spend more than 6% if it has cash funds or
other miscellaneous sources of income to spend.
Needless to
say, these measures are seen as thoroughly draconian by the
governments of Colorado. But, these measures can be overcome in two
ways. The state as a whole, or a local government, can "de-Bruce,"
(a term referring to TABOR's author) meaning that the state or a
local government has successfully requested that the voters of the
district in question allow the government to impose a new tax, raise
the rate of an existing tax, incur new debt, or simply keep more of
the revenue it collects. De-Brucing is the means of raising
extra revenue outlined in TABOR itself, and does not entail a change
to the constitution. However, if a local government wished to
impose a tax not allowed by TABOR at all –a local income tax, for
example - TABOR would have to be modified through a constitutional
amendment.
Since its
adoption in 1992, TABOR has been regarded as the most stringent
tax-control measure in any state constitution. Several states
have laws requiring supermajorities within the legislature to
approve new taxes, and some even have constitutional provisions
requiring voter approval of new taxes or tax increases. Yet, no
others have multifaceted limitations in their constitutions like
TABOR that simultaneously constrain revenue collection, require
voter approval of new taxes and debt, and prohibit several types of
taxes altogether.
Years after the
voters approved it, Douglas Bruce would declare that the adoption of
TABOR was "the most important political event since
statehood." Bruce's assessment of TABOR's significance is
debatable, but there is no question that the measure has
significantly changed the fortunes of state and local governments in
Colorado.
Economic
Performance
The predictions
of economic collapse proffered by some of TABOR's opponents have
failed to materialize. In fact, the Colorado Gross State
Product (GSP) grew at a rate of 8.71% in the 8 years following TABOR
compared to 4.24% in the 8 years before. At the same time,
non-government sector job growth increased at double the rate of the
ten years preceding the adoption of TABOR.
TABOR's
opponents, while admitting significant economic
growth in the decade following TABOR, point to the fact that
correlation does not prove causation, and thus deny that TABOR is
necessarily the cause of the economic expansion of the 90's. Given
the economic success of neighboring states during the 1990's, this
may appear to be a valid point to many. Of course, this line
of thinking ignores mountains of sound economic theory and
historical experience that shows that low taxes do indeed promote
economic growth, but if we look to what is politically
significant in this case we find that TABOR did not in any
perceptible way stifle the economy, and Colorado in fact
outperformed most other states in economic growth during the
1990's.
This has not
stopped critics from predicting economic collapse in the future.
Citing declines in tourism and government spending on a variety of
programs deemed "essential," critics of TABOR continue to make the
"worse than Mississippi" argument on a variety of topics ranging
from education to tourism, to economic development. This argument
has produced some political fruit since the recession of 2001-2002,
and as we shall see below, the voters in 2005 approved Referendum C,
a statewide de-Brucing measure which increased state spending and
revenue collection substantially, although falling short of actually
modifying TABOR.
Performance
as a Tax Limitation Device
TABOR has been
very successful in doing what it was intended to do. As a
constitutional device to slow the growth of government in relation
to the private sector, TABOR is unrivaled in its effects on the
growth of government. The chart below illustrates some "Pre-TABOR"
(1983-1992) and "Post-TABOR" (1993-2002) growth
rates.
|
1983-1992 |
1993-2002 |
|
State
Revenues |
104.7% |
61.3% |
|
State
Spending |
89.8% |
63.8% |
|
Per
Capita Personal Income |
59.2% |
65.3% |
|
Per
Capita State Revenues |
85.3% |
28.7% |
|
Per
Capita State Spending |
71.9% |
30.8% |
|
All job
growth |
18.1% |
34.6% |
|
Gov't
Employment |
21.1% |
20.0% |
|
Non-Government
Emp. |
17.5% |
37.7% |
Source:
"A Decade of TABOR" by Fred Holden. Published by the
Independence Institute.[iii]
Note that per
capita personal income grew much faster than per capita state
spending. Under most tax regimes, if the economy expands a
rapid rate, tax revenues will expand at a rapid rate as well, as
incomes increase and economic activity (all of which is taxed)
increases. Under TABOR however, unlimited growth in revenues
is not permitted, and revenues are capped at the usual
constitutional rate of increase. Consequently, even though TABOR
allows government revenues to grow every year by 6%, private sector
growth tends to outpace government growth by a substantial
margin.
Naturally, such
thorough limitations on government growth have led to numerous
attempts to increase revenues, taxes, debt, and tax rates through
de-Brucing efforts at both the local and state levels. Local
governments have successfully de-Bruced hundreds of times.
Indeed, by 1998, over 400 such revenue, tax, or debt increases had
been approved by voters in local elections. This does not
imply undue ease in having such measures approved, however.
Local governments report that they will only put forward de-Brucing
measures that they believe have a good chance of winning voter
sympathy and will ultimately pass. Experience has shown that
governments need to illustrate exactly how much the new provisions
will cost taxpayers, and exactly what the money will be spent
on.
At the state
level, de-Brucing measures have been far less successful.
Until the approval of Referndum C in 2005, no such effort had won
voter approval. In 1998, for example, the voters turned down a
ballot proposal that would have allowed the state to retain
additional revenue for education and transportation. The
1998 measure was notable in that it actually made it to the
ballot. Most ballot measures to increase taxes poll so poorly,
or are deemed so expensive to promote, that they are never submitted
to the public at all.
In 2005, the
voters approved Referendum C, a ballot measure allowing the state to
spend billions of dollars in revenue over five years that TABOR
would not normally allow the state to keep. After five years,
TABOR re-imposes its regular revenue and spending limitations.
Considering the fact that state discretionary spending is six to
seven billion dollars, this is a substantial infusion of tax money
into the state coffers. Referendum C was a serious setback for the
proponents of tax and revenue limitation, but TABOR itself remains
unchanged. Indeed, while voters approved Referendum C, they
simultaneously defeated Referendum D which would have allowed the
state government to incur billions in new debt, costing hundreds of
millions of dollars in interest payments.
The campaign
rhetoric surrounding Referendum C had in many ways reflected the
rhetoric of 1992 when TABOR itself was on the ballot. The referendum
was supported by virtually the same coalition of interest groups as
had opposed TABOR in 1992. As in 1992, the referendum proponents
predicted severe economic troubles for the state if the state were
not allowed to keep billions in new revenue, with startlingly
similar predictions of crumbling infrastructure, a collapsing public
education system and economic stagnation. In the end, the best
thing the measure had going for it was the fact that it did not
actually increase any tax rates or create any new taxes. It
only allowed the state to bypass the 6% revenue limit and the
inflationary spending limits for five years.
Opponents of
tax limitation nationwide immediately hailed the passage of
Referendum C as the "Death of Tabor" and that the voters had
enthusiastically overturned the measure. This would be an
overstatement to say the least. Given the vast sums of money
expended to gain a bare majority for the measure and the defeat of
Referendum D, enthusiasm appears lacking. It is worth noting that
while TABOR itself had been an initiative originating outside of
government, Referedum C, as its name implies, was written, promoted,
and sent to the ballot by the government itself as a desperate bid
to gain access to more tax funds.
The
pronouncements of TABOR's death notwithstanding, the referendum did
nothing to undo any provisions in TABOR at all. The temporary
suspension of the spending and revenue caps is allowed under TABOR's
own provisions (with voter approval, of course). The spending
cap was not adjusted to reflect personal income growth -
something TABOR opponents had urged be added to the referendum – and
it will again cap spending with the standard TABOR restrictions
beginning in 2010. In the meantime, all the tax prohibitions and
voter approval requirements remain in full force.
Conclusion
Tax limitation
measures are serious business, and since there is so much at stake
for governments and those who benefit from controlling their funds,
it is to be expected that the critics of tax limitation will
constantly be seeking new ways to overturn or outmaneuver such
constitutional restrictions.
As Ludwig von
Mises noted in Liberalism,
governments can never be expected to respect private property on
their own:
Thus, there
has never been a political power that voluntarily desisted from
impeding the free development and operation of the institution of
private ownership of the means of production. Governments tolerate
private property when they are compelled to do so, but they do not
acknowledge it voluntarily in recognition of its necessity. Even
[classical] liberal politicians, on gaining power, have usually
relegated their liberal principles more or less to the background.
The tendency to impose oppressive restraints on private property,
to abuse political power, and to refuse to respect or recognize
any free sphere outside or beyond the dominion of the state is too
deeply ingrained in the mentality of those who control the
governmental apparatus of compulsion and coercion for them ever to
be able to resist it voluntarily.
Taxation is
the fundamental concern of governments. Without the
ability to tax and secure resources for itself, governments can do
little. Without easy and ample access to taxpayer funds,
governments cannot fund their programs, or pay their employees, or
enforce their regulations. Governments can create any new
programs or pass any new laws they like, but without funds to
regulate and coerce, governments are little more than debate
societies. For this reason, tax limitation measures strike at the
very core of the contest between government and the private sector.
It also means that the higher the stakes become, the greater and
more steadfast the opposition will become.
For this reason, it is
difficult to imagine a tax-limitation amendment being successfully
forced on the federal government. At the local level, where programs
like Medicare and public schools are the central issues, tax
limitation is one thing. At the federal level, where the
government commands vastly greater resources and can always claim
prerogatives of "national security," tax limitation is something
else entirely. What large organized interest group would
support such an effort? Certainly not defense contractors or old
people or farmers or environmentalists. We know that Leftists will
oppose tax limitation under pretty much all circumstances, and the
Right can hardly be relied on to provide support. The Right
could be expected to retreat from a tax limitation measure the first
time someone points out that the adoption of such an amendment might
mean one penny less going to military spending. And, even if
such a measure were to pass, the federal government could always
find more revenue by simply inflating the money supply.
While it is
hardly a destroyer of governments as its detractors claim, the TABOR
amendment to the Colorado constitution has indeed slowed the growth
of government, provided a veto on taxes to the voters, and, perhaps
most importantly, made abundantly clear that limiting the
government's access to a nonstop stream of tax funds does not spell
economic Armageddon. It has lowered the real tax burden for many,
and prevented the passage of numerous new taxes. All of these are
good developments in themselves.
Yet, the
primary danger to liberty and economic prosperity is not the state
and local governments, but the gargantuan, bloated, and insulated
federal government. When it comes to limiting taxes for Americans,
TABOR is a nice place to start, but it is hardly an appropriate
place to end.
Ryan W. McMaken
teaches political science at Arapahoe Community College. His
co-author is Derek M.
Johnson, who teaches political science at Red Rocks Community
College. For an earlier (and
much longer version) of this essay, see here. Comment on the blog.
Email McMaken.
[i] Winters, Richard F. "The Politics of
Taxing and Spending." Politics in the American States. 7th ed. Eds.
Virginia Gray, Russell L. Hanson and Herbert Jacob. Washington D.C.:
CQ Press. 1999. 304-348.
[ii] This is known as the Bird-Arvescough
statute.
[iii] See this document for the full text of
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