Now that
there has been a respite in the financial tsunami sweeping the
globe, finger-pointing is sure to begin. The chief culprit for
this near-death experience must be the star-crossed Bush administration
and its reckless financial policies.
The roots
of the current financial crisis began before President Bush
took office. During the Clinton years, finance had already become
America’s primary industry, accounting for 23% of all economic
activity (GDP) while manufacturing slipping at a mere 12%. Finance,
let us recall, consists of paper-passing and manipulation rather
than creation of anything tangible or productive.
But once
Bush and the Republicans came to power, the Wall Street titans
of finance and money lenders were allowed to run amok. In return,
America’s financial industry became the largest contributor
to the nation’s politicians. Republicans and Democrats alike
were bought lock, stock, and barrel.
By 2007,
America had become so addicted to running on borrowed money
(known as "leverage") that the nation owed twice its
net worth. Americans ceased saving, plunging instead into wild
consumerism funded by loans on their homes. All of this was
encouraged by the White House which was determined to keep the
credit-fueled good times rolling after the dot.com crash.
In 2008,
in an act of supreme idiocy, the US Security and Exchange Commission
bowed to pressure from the big five Wall Street banks and, after
a mere 55 minutes of discussion, according to a New York
Times investigation, changed the "net capital rule"
regulating the financial industry.
Hailed
as a brilliant act of deregulation, the new rules allowed banks
to lend out $30 for every $1 they had in reserves, almost doubling
their ability to lend. Monitoring of their financial security
was left to the banks themselves. In other words, the wolves
were let into the sheep pen.
An orgy
of reckless lending followed as banks vied to see who could
make the more risky loans. No one cared as long as their profits
and huge commissions kept rolling in. Sales of $40 million yachts
and $50 million beach houses in the Hamptons surged.
The collapse
of Lehman Brothers and ensuing world market panic marked the
end of this era of financial debauchery. Wall Street’s export
of fraudulent financial instruments in the form of sub-prime
mortgages repackaged as AA quality bonds undermined the world
banking system and brought it close to collapse.
Last week,
outspoken former US President Jimmy Carter squarely blamed the
Bush administration for the disaster. Carter charged the world
crisis was caused by Bush’s "profligate spending"
and dangerous tax cuts at a time when the US was spending nearly
$1 trillion on the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq. He is absolutely
right. President Carter, by the way, is the most respected American
abroad, according to recent surveys.
Carter
warned that Bush’s massive foreign borrowing – $1 trillion from
China and at least $500 billion from Japan – had fatally undermined
the US economy. When Carter was president from 1977–1981, he
inherited a dangerous inflation crisis caused by President Lyndon
Johnson’s refusal to raise taxes to pay for the unpopular Vietnam
War. Johnson preferred to borrow to finance the war, setting
off a storm of inflation that Carter had to deal with as president.
President
Bush did the same thing with his failed wars. Instead of raising
taxes to pay for the war, the Bush administration chose to finance
them through emergency appropriation and loans from abroad while
cutting taxes at home and creating massive farm subsidies. American
taxpayers will repay these Bush loans in coming years either
through higher taxes or through inflation – which is a form
of indirect, hidden taxation.
The Bush
administration inherited a $236 billion surplus from the Clinton
presidency, low inflation, and a booming economy. Eight years
later, the deficit stands at $407 billion and growing. That
is a $643 billion swing to the negative. Under Bush, government
spending rose 16% and military spending by 50%. The size of
government under Bush grew more than under any president since
Democrats Lyndon Johnson’s Great Society and Roosevelt’s New
Deal.
While
President Bush and the real power behind the throne, Vice President
Dick Cheney, were obsessed waging war against Muslims, they
ran the US economy onto the rocks. Under their disaster-plagued
tenure, the US plunged into huge deficits and waged two wars
costing $1 trillion in Afghanistan and Iraq, invaded Somalia,
and got whipped by Russia in Georgia.
Just when
it seemed the hapless Bush White House could not create another
disaster in its final days in office, the Panic of '08 erupted
that may mark the beginning of the end of America’s decline
as a superpower. This is the Bush legacy.
What else
will this administration do in its final days? Well, there’s
always Iran…