An angry
and clearly frustrated US Secretary of Defense Robert Gates
accused some European nations of not being prepared to "fight
and die" in Afghanistan in the battle against Taliban.
His latest outburst follows an intemperate critique last month
in which the US defense secretary asserted that British, Canadian
and Dutch forces fighting in southern Afghanistan needed counterinsurgency
training from the US.
The undiplomatic
Gates is quite right that Europe has little stomach for battle.
Most Europeans regard the Afghan conflict as a. wrong and immoral;
b. America’s war; c. all about oil; and d. probably lost.
To many
Europeans, the NATO alliance was created to deter the once real
threat of Soviet aggression, not to supply foot soldiers for
George Bush’s wars in the Muslim World. Eastern Europeans are
understandably grateful to the United States for helping free
them from Soviet domination and as a result are supporting the
US Afghan mission – but somewhat tepidly and usually in response
to millions in aid from Washington.
While Gates
and Canada’s government were pleading for more troops, the commander
of the 40,000 NATO troops in Afghanistan, US Gen. Dan McNeill,
landed a bombshell of his own. If proper US military counterinsurgency
doctrine were followed, said McNeill at a Washington conference,
the US and NATO would need 400,000 troops to defeat Pashtun
tribal resistance to western occupation of Afghanistan
When the
Soviets occupied Afghanistan, they deployed 160,000 troops and
about 200,000 Afghan Communist troops – yet failed to crush
the mostly Pashtun resistance. Now, the US and NATO are trying
the same mission with only 66,000 troops, backed by ragtag local
mercenaries grandly styled the Afghan National Army. Of these
66,000 western soldiers, at least half or more are non-combat
support troops.
Canada’s
calls for a 1,000 more NATO troops, and the US decision to send
3,200 Marines, will not alter the course of this war, which
is turning increasingly against the western occupiers. Even
so, France’s new neoconservative leader, President Nicholas
Sarkozy, is reported to be considering sending another troop
contingent to Afghanistan. Probably in hopes of pleasing Washington
and becoming its new Tony Blair.
Meanwhile,
the war is ominously spreading into neighboring Pakistan, stretching
beleaguered US and NATO forces ever thinner.
A primary
reason for Gates’ recent request for Islamabad to "invite"
US troops to begin assaults against pro-Taliban Pashtun tribesmen
inside Pakistan is due to their growing attacks on US/NATO supply
lines to Afghanistan.
As this
column has previously reported, over 70% of US/NATO supplies
come in by truck through Pakistan’s tribal belt known as FATA,
including all of their oil and gas. Attacks by pro-Taliban tribesmen
against these vulnerable supply lines are jeopardizing western
military operations inside Afghanistan.
The hunters
are becoming the hunted. Cutting off invader’s supply lines
is a time-honored Pashtun military tactic. They used it against
Alexander the Great, the British, and Soviets, and are at it
again.
What angry
Sec. Gates fails to see is that by pushing NATO into a distant
Asian war without political purpose or seeming end, he is endangering
the very alliance that is the bedrock of US power in Europe.
Europeans
increasingly ask why they need the US-dominated military alliance,
a Cold War relic, in which they continue to play foot soldiers
to America’s atomic knights, to paraphrase the late German statesman,
Franz Josef Strauss.
Why does
the rich, powerful European Union even need NATO any more? The
Soviet threat is gone – at least for now. Nuclear-armed France
and Britain are quite capable of defending Europe against outside
threats. Why cannot the new European Defense Force take over
NATO’s role of defending Europe and protecting EU interests?
United Europe will inevitably field its own integrated military
force. Arm-twisting Europe to fight a highly unpopular war in
Afghanistan will only hasten this development.
In short,
most Europeans see no benefit in playing junior members in an
alliance whose historic time has passed, and that serves primarily
as an instrument of US power. Washington’s sharpest geopolitical
thinker, Zbigniew Brzezinski, calls NATO a "stepping stone"
the US uses to project power into Europe.
By
pushing NATO towards a bridge too far, the Bush Administration
may end up fatally undermining NATO and encouraging anti-American
forces in Europe. In fact, it’s becoming evident that the cash-strapped
US needs the EU more than the EU needs the US.
Final point.
If impassioned claims by US and Canadian politicians that the
little Afghanistan war must by won at all costs, then why don’t
they stop orating, impose conscription, and send 400,000 soldiers,
including their own sons, to fight in Afghanistan?
Of
course they won’t. They prefer to waste their own soldiers,
and grind up Afghanistan, rather than admit this war against
40 million Pashtun tribesmen was a terrible and stupid mistake
that will only get worse.