What do the numbers mean?

Ron Paul has done well in various straw polls. I think you have to judge the straw polls against Ron’s “scientific” poll national number of 2-3 percent.

Iowa–9%
Alabama–81%
NH–73%
Illinois–19%
SC–18%
Average40%

These polls measure a factor that will be very important in early primaries and caucuses which have traditionally low turnouts: intensity of support. Polls don’t measure that and are therefore not scientific.

Thus, as I’ve said before, the MSM should base their degree of coverage on objective, scientific factors such as contributions, crowds and straw polls.

Not that they will!

Update: Huckabee, the new media darling, averaged 7 percent in the same straw polls.

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2:03 pm on August 19, 2007