If the recent news out of Ukraine is accurate, its troubles are not over (see this, this, this and this.) One must take into account the positions of each person cited in these articles in order to give them appropriate weight. After factoring that in, I think we can say that the new government has serious problems and that the state itself does too. They are coming from the presence of an armed and militant Right Sector.
The foreign ministers of Germany, France and Poland issued a joint statement. It implicitly recognizes the government and state’s problems by the advice they are giving about handling violence and extremists. They don’t want Ukraine devolving into a Libya-like situation. The Defense Minister of Russia, who wants political solutions, and a Duma MP basically are also warning about political instability from the same source in the country’s south and east. What they are worried about is the armed Right Sector:
“Hundreds of activists from the Right Sector on March 27 gathered in front of the building of the Ukrainian unicameral parliament, the Verkhovna Rada, in Kiev. Activists stormed the building, smashing windows in it and causing lawmakers to leave. The radicals later retreated.”
This was a protest over the killing of one of their men:
“The storm followed the killing of Right Sector coordinator, ultranationalist Alexander Muzychko (Sashko Bily), wanted by Russia for torture and killings of Russian soldiers in the Russian North Caucasus republic of Chechnya in 1994-2000, in a special operation by Ukrainian law enforcers in western Ukraine on March 25.”
The government is negotiating with the armed Right Sector, and the latter has clashed with what are called “Ukraine’s protesting Maidan self-defense forces.”
The U.S. policy of confronting Russia over Ukraine’s problems doesn’t address Ukraine’s situation. It addresses Washington’s big power interest, expansion of its sphere of influence.
Washington is bailing out Ukrainian creditors and tying Ukraine up with the IMF. This money manipulation does not address Ukraine’s real problems. This doesn’t recognize that the issues involve neighboring countries, including Russia and Poland. Washington prefers to diminish Russian influence and extend its own. Actually resolving the Ukrainian issues is secondary to that larger aim. This is why what Washington does seems ambiguous. Washington alters course, veering from cooperation to antagonism, depending on its main goal, extension of its own influence.
Washington’s actions are aimed at neutralizing and even destabilizing Russia itself. To Washington with its drive for power and expansion, Russia is an antagonist. The same goes for China, which explains Obama’s Pacific policy going right along side the large trade relations with China; and it explains AFRICOM’s growth by leaps and bounds.
A destabilized Ukraine that lies at Washington’s mercy and results in continued Washington involvement is not something Washington is altogether averse to. At the same time, Washington follows the dual path of diplomacy and talking with Russia. There is a double game going on. Washington has nothing to lose by talking while unsheathing knives to stab and wound Russia in order to achieve what it wants.
Ukraine is the latest country caught in Washington’s meshes or crosshairs, if you will.7:36 am on April 1, 2014 Email Michael S. Rozeff