Interesting Election Prognostications by Greg Aharonian of PatNews:

– LAST MINUTE OBSERVATIONS ABOUT THE ELECTION

Six indicators not favorable for Bush to win:

1) highly liberal Boston’s Red Sox won the World Series
2) highly conservative Washington’s Red Skins lost their last game
3) highly liberal San Francisco’s UCal Berkeley Bears are ranked #4

4) stock market lower than it was two months ago
5) internecine Republican warfare
6) Economist chooses Kerry over Bush; Tampa Bay Trib chooses noneFor 1), 2) and 3) to happen within a few weeks? The fates going liberal? The Earth starting to spin in a new direction? Overlapping multiuniverses?

Indicator 4) is one of those coincidental indcators that seems to work a lot, like correlations with sports games. Two months ago, the Dow was at 10298. Friday, it closed at 10027, favoring Kerry. The Dow has to pick up 300 points on Monday to favor Bush, which is a lot of points unless the Saudi’s cut the price of oil in half as a pre-Christmas present to the US.

Indicator 5) is the weirdest. If you watched the Sunday pundit shows, it is becoming apparent that a fair number of Republicans are becoming worried that the Republicans will retain complete control of Washington after the election, and undermine true conservatism with whatever undermines true conservatism.

Indicator 6) also not good news for Bush – the Economist editorially is a milder version of the Wall Street Journal – English conservative – as opposed to the very conservative Tampa Bay Tribune, which is very conservative. The Economist is endorsing Kerry (cover: incoherent beats incompetent), the Tribune endorsing neither candidate.

For the patent and copyright law worlds, it doesn’t matter who wins or what party controls Congress. Neither care about the quality of the IP system except as a source of money to siphon off.

My prediction: for this election, Republicans are still nastier and Bush will win.

The Best of Stephan Kinsella