The West is perfecting its techniques of undermining governments, and sometimes the leaders are killed as with Gaddafi and Saddam Hussein. Now Bashar al-Assad is in the crosshairs. These governments prove to be weak in the face of the western methods of subversion, money, arms, etc. To survive they need an alternative to merge with or turn to, but the Russians and Chinese are not playing this role. Then what they need instead of fighting is to give in much sooner and resign, with possible conditions. But to whom? They can’t resign to the Security Council because it’s western dominated. That leaves the General Assembly or possibly the nations in the non-aligned movement (NAM).
To avoid civil war, the leader resigns and seeks for his country to become a protectorate under another known political body that the West cannot attack. The government says it will agree to full and fair elections and a process to draft a new constitution, both run by this protector. It forswears any use of arms unless it is attacked while this process proceeds. What this accomplishes is to gain the moral high ground. If the West feeds a civil war, the government then has a much clearer right to fight back because it is seeking only to assure a democratic process. If the West does its subversion routine or assists rebels, it becomes the clear bad guy. Meanwhile the leader can still put himself back up for election or else retire with his Swiss bank account. He might make non-prosecution of himself one of the conditions for seeking the UN protection. It’s like seeking court protection while going into bankruptcy, and the court controls the interim procedures.
1:55 pm on August 29, 2012
