Marc Faber Has Short Term Concerns About Commodities, Says Gold May Drop to $800
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Marc Faber the Swiss fund manager and Gloom Boom & Doom editor said he has some short-term concerns about commodity prices including gold. He is also reluctant to invest in bonds.
In the latest issue of the Gloom Boom & Doom, Faber writes: "Since we had in 2008 the third best annual return (41%) in the last 35 years and since each time high returns were followed by negative returns I would be, regardless of the economic outlook, very reluctant to invest in long term government and also in corporate bonds.
Faber says he is more negative about US bonds under a further deterioration of the economy than under a recovery, adding that 'inevitable' further economic weakness 'will lead to further fiscal stimulus packages and necessitate further money printing'.
He believes the latest GDP growth figures are a result of massive government interventions into the free market which inevitably resulted in extremely volatile economic and financial conditions.
As a result assets are over-stretched: equities are too high, the euro is over-bought the dollar is over-sold. Even gold may be due for a short term correction, he says.
"I should also mention some concerns (for now of short-term nature) I have about commodity prices including gold. A large number of commodities including oil, the CRB Index, and gold broke out on the upside in early October," Faber said.
November 9, 2009
Dr. Marc Faber [send him mail] lives in Chiangmai, Thailand and is the author of Tomorrow's Gold.
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