The Hyperpower Hype and Where It Took Us
by
Tom Engelhardt
by Tom Engelhardt
Exporting
Ruins
Just last
week, a jury began to deliberate on the fate of Zacarias Moussaoui,
who may or may
not have been the missing 20th hijacker in the September 11th
attacks. At the same time, newly
released recordings of 911 operators responding to calls from
those about to die that day in the two towers were splashed across
front pages nationwide. ("All I can tell you to do is sit tight.
All right? Because I got almost every fireman in the city coming…")
Over four
and a half years later, September 11, 2001 won't go away. And little
wonder. It remains the defining moment in our recent lives, the
moment that turned us from a country into a "homeland." With Iraq
in a state of ever-devolving deconstruction, the President's and
Vice President's polling
figures in tatters, Karl Rove (Bush's "brain") again threatened
with indictment,
the Republican Party in disarray, and New Orleans as well as the
Mississippi coast still largely unreconstructed ruins, perhaps it's
worth revisiting just what exactly was defined in that moment.
A DIY World
of Terrorism
The brilliance
of the al-Qaeda assault that day lay in its creation of a vision
of destruction out of all proportion to the organization's modest
strength. At best, al-Qaeda had adherents in the thousands as well
as a "headquarters" and training camps located in the backlands
of one of the poorest countries on the planet.
Its leaders
made the bold decision to launch an attack on the political and
the financial capitals of what was then regularly termed the globe's
"sole hyperpower." Although this face-off might have seemed the
ultimate definition of asymmetric warfare, in terms of theatrical
value no small thing in our world of 24/7 news and entertainment
the struggle turned out to be eerily symmetrical. By the
look of it (but only the look), the Earth's lone superpower met
its match that day. With box cutters, mace, two planes, and the
use of Microsoft piloting software to speed their learning curve,
a few determined fanatics, ready to kill and die, took aim at the
two most iconic (if uninspired) buildings at the financial heart
of the American system and managed to top the climax of any disaster
film ever shot. What they created, in fact, was a Hollywood-style
vision of the apocalypse, enough so that our media promptly dubbed
the spot where those two towers crumbled in those vast clouds of
dust and smoke, "Ground Zero," a term previously reserved for an
atomic explosion.
This was
let's be blunt an extraordinary accomplishment for a tiny
band of men with one of the more extreme religious/political ideologies
around; and, if the testimony under CIA interrogation of al-Qaeda's
Khalid Sheikh Mohammed is to be believed summaries
were released at the Moussaoui sentencing hearing what happened
seems to have stunned even him. ("According to the CIA summary,
he said he ‘had no idea that the damage of the first attack would
be as catastrophic as it was.'")
And yet, so
many years later, there have been no follow-up attacks here. This
was obviously never the equivalent of breaking through military
lines in war. There were no al-Qaeda troops poised to pour through
that breach, ransack the rubble, and spread across New York; nor,
like the Japanese at Pearl Harbor (to which the 9/11 assault was
often compared), did al-Qaeda launch a simultaneous set of strikes
elsewhere. Of this sort of activity the group was incapable. Such
acts were far beyond its means.
By the look
of it, there weren't even sleeper cells in the U.S. ready to launch
devastating follow-up attacks. (Given the Bush administration's
record from New Orleans to Iraq, we can take it for granted that
its officials would have been incapable
of stopping any such well-planned attacks.) As far as we can
tell, most of the major terrorist assaults launched since then,
from Bali to Baghdad, were essentially franchised operations, undertaken
by groups who claimed a kinship of inspiration and ideology; and,
in a number of devastating cases, including London and Madrid, by
small, self-organized groups, brought to a boil by Bush's War in
Iraq, who struck on their own as, in essence, al-Qaeda wannabes.
What al-Qaeda has really been promoting, because it was never capable
of promoting much else, is a DIY world of terrorism.
Crossing
the Line, Apocalypse Bound
Despite the
limitless look of the destruction on September 11, 2001, the dangers
al-Qaeda posed were of a limited nature. After all, it took the
group a long time to meticulously plan each of its attacks, whether
on the WTC, or the USS Cole in a harbor in Yemen, or two
U.S. embassies in Africa. Years could pass between major attacks.
When Osama bin Laden, according to Khalid Sheikh Mohammed's CIA
testimony, pushed for launching the attack on the World Trade Center
in May 2001, seven months after the waterborne assault on the USS
Cole, Mohammed ignored him because they simply weren't ready.
Their attacks
could be devastating locally, killing startling numbers, but that
would be the end of matters for months or even years to come. Other
than a finely tuned sense of the power of timing, theatrics, and
publicity (which indicated just how "modern" a group calling for
the return of a medieval Caliphate really was), the only thing al-Qaeda
could brandish was an implicit futuristic threat: That someday they,
or another group like them, might get their hands on an actual apocalyptic
weapon, leaking out of the arsenals or labs of one of the two former
Cold War superpowers or from those of proliferating lesser powers.
Then they might create an actual Ground Zero, subjecting some city
somewhere, possibly here, to a genuinely apocalyptic moment.
Certain analysts
had long feared just this. One was Robert Jay Lifton who, back in
1999, wrote a far-seeing if little noticed book, Destroying
the World to Save It, about the Aum Shinrikyo cult in Japan.
It too had been led by a fanatically driven leader possessing a
vision of the end of the world that probably was, Lifton says, "as
old as death itself." But whereas past religious groups had waited
in expectation or terror for the predicted end of time to arrive,
Aum's guru set out to make it happen, to trigger Armageddon. He
actually managed to finance and set up his own science labs, attract
scientific types to his cult, and create a poor man's weapon of
mass destruction, the deadly nerve gas Sarin.
In 1995, his
followers let imperfectly produced Sarin loose in the Tokyo subway
system during a morning rush hour. Due to Aum's amateurishness,
few people were killed; but, as Lifton wrote, the cult had nonetheless
crossed a "line" that few even knew existed. It became "the first
group in history to combine ultimate fanaticism with ultimate weapons
in a project to destroy the world." Its acts were also a reminder
that, sooner or later, weapons of mass destruction of one sort or
another might indeed fall out of the control of states and into
the hands of groups, cults, or even individuals who might feel none
of the restraints states turn out to be under when it comes to their
use.
This was an
insight that lay just below the surface of our world until September
11, 2001, but that everyone evidently sensed otherwise that
Ground Zero label would never have come so naturally to mind. Thought
about with a cold eye, the single most important set of acts the
Bush administration could have undertaken other than bringing
to justice those who had launched the murderous assaults
would have been to nail down the globe's nuclear as well as chemical
and biological arsenals, and the Cold War labs that had produced
them. It's worth recalling that the largely forgotten
anthrax killer or killers, who closed down Congress and killed
postal workers that same September, used weaponized anthrax, evidently
from the American weapons labs. In addition, genuine national security
would have meant putting full-scale efforts into reversing the global
proliferation of nuclear weapons rather than just focusing
ineptly on a couple of rogue states you were eager to whack anyway.
You would certainly not have broken open the Nuclear Non-Proliferation
Treaty, encouraged a state like India in its militarized nuclear
dreams, or launched a major expansion and "modernization" of the
already staggering American nuclear arsenal.
But of course
nothing like this happened. In that terrible moment when a choice
might have been made between the vision of apocalypse and the reality
of al-Qaeda, between a malign version of the smoke-and-mirrors Wizard
of Oz and the pathetic little man behind the curtain, the Bush administration
opted for the vision in a major way. Bush, Cheney, Rumsfeld, Rice,
and other top officials chose to pump up al-Qaeda into a global
enemy worthy of a new Cold War, a generational struggle that might
comfortably be filled with smaller, regime-change-oriented, "preventive"
hot wars against hopelessly outgunned enemies who unlike
in those Cold War days would have no other superpower to
call on for aid.
Hyper about
Power
That radioactive
decision, not the 9/11 attacks, determined the shape of our world.
Bush declared his "crusade"
make no bones about it against Islam (though al Qaeda
was the fringiest of "Islamic" groups) and the Middle East. It was,
above all, to be a crusade to dominate the energy heartlands of
the planet.
In its own
way, al-Qaeda was ready to accept the Bush version of itself. After
all, our President had just elevated it into the major leagues of
enemyhood, right up there with the big boys of history. Via various
videos, including one just before the 2004 presidential elections,
al-Qaeda's leaders entered into a thoroughly bizarre "conversation"
with the Bush administration, which, in press conferences, answered
in kind. What a compliment! Who could reject a recruiting tool of
that sort, right out of someone's Hollywood fantasies. Why not be
a group of Islamic Dr. No's? (If only the Bush administration had
reacted as James Bond did: "World domination. The same old dream.
Our asylums are full of people who think they're Napoleon. Or God.")
On their part,
Bush and his cohorts were all-too-ready to dance with this minor
set of apocalypts, in part because they were themselves into fantasies
of world domination and considered themselves anything but
mad. With visions of a "New Rome" and a one-party democracy
at home dancing in their heads, they took that handy, terrifying
image of the apocalypse in downtown New York and translated it into
every sort of terror (including mushroom
clouds threatening to go off over American cities and unmanned
aerial vehicles spraying
poisons along the East coast). In this way, they stampeded the
American people and Congress into their crusade of choice.
The story
of what followed you know well. Miraculously, al-Qaeda grew and
the United States shrank. For one thing, it turned out that top
American officials and the various neocons who worked for them or
simply cheered them on from Washington's think-tanks and editorial
pages, had been taken in by their own hype about American military
power. They deeply believed in their pumped-up version of our hyper-strength,
our ability to do anything we pleased in a world of midgets; and
with the Soviet Union gone, if you just checked out military budgets
and high-tech weapons programs, it might indeed look that way. Economically,
however, the U.S. was far less strong than they imagined and its
military power turned out to be far more impressive when held in
reserve as a threat than when put to use in Iraq, where our Army
would soon be stopped dead in its half-tracks.
In retrospect,
the Bush administration badly misread the U.S. position in the world.
Its officials, blinded by their own publicity releases on the nature
of American power, were little short of self-delusional. And so,
with unbearable self-confidence, the administration set out flailingly
and, in just a few short years, began to create something like a
landscape of ruins.
Today, we
stand in those ruins, whether we know it or not, though the Ground
Zero of the Bush assault was obviously not here, but in Iraq. Starting
with their "shock and awe," son-et-lumière air assault on
downtown Baghdad (which they promoted as if it were a hot, new TV
show), they turned out to want their apocalyptic-looking scenes
of destruction up on screen for the world to see no less than al-Qaeda
did. It took next to no time for them to turn huge swaths of Iraq
into the international equivalent of the World Trade Center. And
it's a reasonable guess these people being painfully consistent
in their predilections that it's only going to get worse.
(As Sidney
Blumenthal recently put it in another context, "Like all failed
presidents, Bush is a captive in an iron cage of his own making.
The greater his frustration, the tighter he grips the bars.")
Just a quick
look at the situation in Iraq today reveals levels of chaos and
a "steady diet of carnage" that not long ago might have seemed unimaginable.
The Bush people now find themselves oscillating weekly between desperate
policy non-alternatives, while a low-level, vicious, Lebanon-style
civil war develops on the ground. Just last week, "Iraqi troops"
with U.S. advisors were reported to have raided a Shiite mosque
complex in a Baghdad neighborhood controlled by the forces of Moqtada
al-Sadr's militia. A number of civilians, including
an 80-year-old Imam, were killed, provoking an angry Shiite response,
including calls
for the sacking of Zalmay Khalilzad, the U.S. ambassador, indicating
that a
new stage had been reached.
For one thing,
it's now clear that there may no longer be "Iraqi troops." In this
case, the attackers turned out to be a Kurdish unit with American
advisors, evidently perfectly happy to slaughter Sadr's backers.
What exists, what we're "standing up" (so we can "stand down," as
the President regularly puts it) are Shiite units, Kurdish units,
and even relatively modest units of Sunni
troops. As Robert
Dreyfuss recently commented, all of this signals "that the United
States is now fighting virtually the entire Iraqi Arab population.
Only the non-Arab Kurds seem loyal to the United States now, and
the notoriously fickle Kurds, famed for shifting their allegiances
on a dime, can't be counted on as permanent friends, either."
Meanwhile,
the country is officially without
a government. As Dreyfuss sums the situation up, "Post-Saddam
Iraq has become a nightmare, a Mad Max world in which warlords rule."
While American power remains enormous there, it has proved less
wieldable than anyone in the Bush administration ever imagined.
The leading Shiite spiritual figure, Ayatollah
Ali al-Sistani, hasn't even bothered to open a letter from our
President; previous Shiite allies have started denouncing us; Baghdad's
provincial council has suspended "cooperation" with the U.S.
military and the U.S. embassy.
So here's
a future scenario to imagine: Shiite, Sunni, and Kurdish troops
all roaming urban neighborhoods, all engaging in revenge killings
against the others, all with their own American advisors. It is
no longer beyond the bounds of possibility that Americans could
find themselves on every side of a future civil war; or, no less
likely, that all sides could be attacking American troops
or both; and so, of course, could the Iranians whom the Bush administration,
in another catch-22, threatens to attack and yet desperately needs.
In the meantime,
the American air war against Iraqi cities quietly ratchets up and,
amid the ruins, huge permanent American bases like the 19
square-mile Al-Asad airbase in Anwar Province with its
17,000 troops, Burger King, Pizza Hut, car dealership Yellow and
Blue bus routes, and "PX jammed with customers" thrive. Only
recently, the administration requested from Congress hundreds
of millions more dollars to construct stronger perimeter defenses,
better runways with permanent lighting, more permanent dining facilities
and the like at the largest of these bases.
While the
basics of everyday life in urban Iraq continue to peel away and
the Iraqi oil industry looks to be on its last legs, the Pentagon
delivers electricity, potable water, and fuel, not to speak of i-Pods,
televisions, Internet access, and other goodies to our massive bases,
some of which, visiting reporters tell us, now resemble small American
towns and to which the administration hopes to withdraw most of
its troops sooner or later. At a time when Daniel
Speckhard, director of the U.S. Iraq Reconstruction Management
Office, is putting the country on notice that it can "no longer
count on U.S. reconstruction funds," you might forgive an Iraqi
for wondering how the administration that "liberated" their country
could have done so much so efficiently for its soldiers and yet
be so incapable of doing much of anything for the rest of the country.
The Rubble
of Victory
At the moment,
our bases exist like little untouched Edens in the eye of the storm.
Undoubtedly, administration officials still imagine us camping out
in the ruins in 2009 or 2019 after all, for a while the Pentagon
actually referred to these ziggurats of modern Iraq as "enduring
camps" while large cities like Mosul stew in their uncollected
garbage and polluted sewage water, ever more rundown, ever more
shot up, ever less under anyone's control. ("The Americans are now
just one more of the tribes of Mosul," Patrick
Cockburn of the British Independent quotes "one Arab
source" as saying.)
It's
true that some neocons once imagined
chaos as a kind of acceptable fallback position in the Middle
East, if the best of all worlds didn't work out. But this was the
fantasy of people who had essentially never made it out of the Washington
world of think tanks, punditry, and politics, who were desperately
ready to be dazzled by the tales of Ahmed Chalabi and other exiled
Iraqi Scheherazades. Anyone today who thinks that we can simply
retreat to those permanent bases and protect the oil, while Iraq
sinks further into chaos, while the ruins spread, should really
think again.
"Imperial
overreach" is too fancy a term for what the Bush administration
has actually done. While its officials have talked a great game
when it came to achieving "victory" in Iraq and exporting democracy
to the Middle East, its main exports have turned out to be mayhem
and ruins. And those it can continue to export. With every new move,
yet more rubble, yet more terror, and undoubtedly yet more terrorists
in Iraq and, sooner or later, in the wider region will be created.
This is where the most essential choices made by the President,
Vice President, and their chosen officials in the days after September
11, 2001 have taken us.
April
3, 2006
Tom
Engelhardt [send him mail]
is editor of TomDispatch.com,
a project of the Nation
Institute. He
is the author of several books, including The
Last Days of Publishing: A Novel and The
End of Victory Culture.
Copyright
© 2006 Tom Engelhardt
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