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A Checklist for Global Warming

by Dmitry Chernikov
by Dmitry Chernikov


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Suppose that you are thinking of whether you should be worried about global warming (GW). I suggest then that you get answers to the following questions.

  1. Whether GW is, in fact, occurring, and if so, then at what rate at any given time, now and in the future. For how long will it continue to occur at these rates? From what non-man-made causes does it spring? Examine the physical consequences of GW, e.g., rising sea-levels, floods, higher crop yields, etc.

  2. Whether GW is bad, and if so, then how bad, for whom, when it will become bad, and how fast its costs will rise. Investigate in addition whether GW may be good, and if so, then, again, how, for whom, when, and how fast its benefits will rise.

  3. Whether human beings contribute to GW, and if so, then in what ways and to what extent. Which of the man-made causes of GW, such as human breathing, cars, airplanes, power plants, etc., contribute how much?

  4. Whether if human-caused GW was reduced by n%, GW would still occur (and if so, then at what rate, etc.) and would still be bad (how, for whom, etc.).

  5. Whether the sacrifices in the standard of living and prosperity needed to curb the human impact on GW (and there will be, perhaps enormous, sacrifices) will be worth the benefits of some lower rate of GW. What is the least costly way of lowering emissions?

  6. Whether technological and economic progress will not make the part of GW caused by humans a non-problem in a decade or two.

  7. Whether the US federal government is the entity to which you would want to entrust a new war on global warming.

  8. Whether, if push comes to shove, those who live in areas not negatively affected by GW should be forced by the government to subsidize those who do live in such areas.

The currently given answers by the GW alarmists to all of these questions are open to doubts, and a failure to answer even a single question definitively in a way that makes a case for the dangers of GW means that the environmentalists are all wet.

May 29, 2007

Dmitry Chernikov [send him mail] is a graduate student in philosophy at Kent State University. See his website.

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