What
Is Up With Fiat Money?
by
Dmitry Chernikov
by Dmitry Chernikov
Inflation
and the business cycle are as much parts of our lives as death and
taxes. But it need not be this way. Commodity money such as gold
can stop both in their tracks. Before we get to that, however, let
us first get right some of the basics of money.
Money
First, notice
that the purchasing power of money varies inversely with supply
and directly with demand for money. (PPM = 1/Price.) That is, the
more (less) money is in the hands of the public the higher (the
lower) the prices will be and the less (the greater) the PPM be.
And the greater the demand for money, the more people will save
in their cash balances, which means that the prices will fall (in
order to give an incentive to people to spend again), and the PPM
will rise. Similarly, the lower the demand for money, the more people
will want to spend their money on goods and services, which will
cause prices to rise and the PPM to drop. Of course, higher or lower
demand for money cannot cause supply to change, so by spending more
or less people will not affect the total amount of money in the
aggregate, but they will change the PPM by changing the price level.
What should
the supply of money be? Notice that money is different from
all other commodities. Unlike all the sundry consumer or capital
goods, an increase of money does not confer any social benefit.
It merely dilutes the PPM. To be sure, if we magically doubled one
person's bank balance, he would benefit, but everyone else would
lose, since some of the prices will rise in response to his greater
spending power. Society as a whole is no better off than before,
since real resources, labor, capital, consumer goods, natural resources,
productivity, have not changed at all. All that happens is that
existing goods are redistributed toward the person with the
higher bank balance and away from everyone else. In short
then, because no additional money is socially useful, any
money supply is "optimal," given, of course, a sufficient amount
of gold in the hands of the public to facilitate daily transactions.
(Is mining gold therefore wasteful? Only partially so, because
gold has non-monetary uses. At any rate, even if mining were in
this sense wasteful, a gold standard could still be defended as
being preferable to any of its alternatives.)
What affects
the demand for money? A number of things, such as:
- The supply
of goods and services. If economic growth is taking place,
then this supply increases, which causes the demand for money
(for use in exchange) to rise and prices to fall. Hence the same
total amount of money in a progressing economy will command ever
greater purchasing power. This is the "deflation" of whose allegedly
evil consequences we are constantly warned. But in fact, deflation
is a natural and benign process of ever lower prices due to economic
progress in a free society.
- Frequency
of payment. The less frequent the payment of wages to a worker,
the higher the average cash balance he has to keep, and therefore
the greater the demand for money.
- Devices
to economize on cash, such as credit cards. Carrying a credit
card enables a person to carry much less cash, for he can instantly
borrow any amount of cash he wants. This causes the demand for
money to drop and prices to rise. (It is true that credit cardsissuing
banks now have to keep more cash, but insofar as the merchant
is a member of the same bank as the customer, there is no need
to physically move money from one bank to another. There is just
a transfer of ownership from one account to another within the
same bank. Even if interbank transfers are necessary, still the
receiving bank can expand the money supply by the same amount
that the sending bank must contract it. Since, as we shall see
below, lower demand for cash entails higher money supply, widespread
credit card use increases the latter.)
- Confidence
in money. The greater the confidence, given competing currencies,
the greater the demand for a particular currency will be.
- Inflationary
of deflationary expectations. These speed up future price
reactions. In other words, if people expect that prices will rise,
they spend money now (for why wait until things get more
expensive?) and thereby cause prices to rise even before inflation
does it on it own. If, on the other hand, they think that prices
will fall, they will curtail their spending in anticipation of
lower prices in the future, thereby lowering them even more in
the present.
Debasement
of money was widely practiced in the ancient world. A king would
issue coins that would by decree be equal in value to existing coins
but would actually contain less gold (or silver) than they. For
example, such coins could consist of gold mixed with silver. Thus
the king would make a profit from artificial lightening of the currency.
This was an early form of inflation. (The more sophisticated form
had to await the invention of unbacked paper money.) Gresham's law
states that artificially overvalued currency will drive out the
artificially undervalued currency, as people hoard the "good" money
and use the "bad" in its place (for why spend more gold when one
can spend less, if both types of coins can purchase exactly the
same things?). Those who receive the new money first benefit, because
they can spend it before the inevitable rise in prices, which occurs
as the new money propagates throughout the economy. People such
as those on fixed income are harmed because the purchasing power
of their money will eventually have decreased.
Why do governments
love inflation? Because it is a hidden tax. Overt taxation is unpopular
and can even sometimes cause a revolution, but inflating the money
supply can fool the public for centuries.
Banking
There are two
distinct types of banking: loan banking and deposit banking. The
former is concerned with channeling money brought to the bank into
loans for productive or consumptive activities, such as starting
a business or buying a car. The bank loans the money at a higher
interest rate than what the person who gives money to the bank for
this purpose is paid. Deposit banking, on the contrary, is more
like putting one's money for safekeeping. Now it is the bank's customer
who pays the bank for guarding his property in a money warehouse.
The crucial difference is that in loan banking it is the bank that
becomes the owner of the money, which it promises to repay the customer
with interest at some specified later date; whereas in deposit banking
the money is due to the customer at any time on demand. Neither
type of banking in its pure form is inflationary.
What is inflationary,
however, is when deposits are treated as loans to the bank. There
is indeed a great temptation of a bank (warehouse) owner to treat
them as such. If he correctly estimates the amount of gold that
will be redeemed, then he can print a number of fake warehouse receipts
for the rest of the gold in his storage and lend them out. In so
doing he will be creating money essentially out of thin air by letting
these fake receipts circulate equivalent to cash. This is how banks
pyramid credit on top of deposits. Instead of keeping 100% reserve
(the amount of cash in the bank's vaults ready for instant redemption),
he will be keeping less, thereby engaging in fractional-reserve
banking. This is the standard way of how banks today operate,
notwithstanding the fact that fractional-reserve banking is inherently
fraudulent and is a type of embezzlement, precisely because there
is not enough cash in the bank to satisfy the legal rights of all
of its customers. A bank's assets are due to it at some later dates,
whereas its liabilities are instantaneous. Hence every single bank
in the United States is insolvent and therefore bankrupt.
Under free
banking are there any limits on bank credit expansion? First, there
is the famous bank run. It occurs when there is a loss of confidence
in a bank that has overextended its credit. As people line up to
get their money (which is not simply there), the bank can become
bankrupt in a matter of hours. But, of course, bank runs, though
a wonderful tool of keeping banks in check, are rare events that
happen only when the public has reasons to suspect that a bank is
in trouble. The more permanent and day-to-day limit to the expansion
of credit is the limited customer base of each bank. The point is
that the borrowers, being very likely clients of other banks
than the one that loaned them money, will have those banks call
upon the loan bank to redeem the receipts. Money (real gold) will
have to be transferred into the vaults of those other banks. The
now smaller reserve in the loan bank will then ensure a money supply
contraction. It is true that the reserves of the other banks will
increase, but those banks, too, will have the same difficulty
with their own loans. There is always a danger that the loans will
be cashed in elsewhere. The smaller the customer base of each bank,
the greater the accompanying threat of bankruptcy and the better
the check on inflation, because it is more likely that any given
note-holder will be a client of a different bank. As Henri Cernuschi
proclaimed in 1865, "I want to give everybody the right to issue
banknotes so that nobody should take any banknotes any longer."
Central
Banking
The Central
Bank is the banker's bank. It alone has the right to issue banknotes.
Just as the banks' customers have deposit accounts in their banks,
so the banks, too, have deposit accounts in the Central Bank. They
draw on these accounts whenever they need cash to redeem the deposits
of their clients. The accounts are necessary also in order to satisfy
the banks' reserve requirements. (According to the Federal Reserve,
"The difference between an institution's reserve requirement and
the vault cash used to meet that requirement is called the required
reserve balance" to be kept at the Fed.) Whenever cash is handed
out, the bank's reserve dwindles which necessitates a contraction
of the money supply. This the bank does by selling its assets, paying
off its loans, etc. Whenever new deposits are brought to the bank,
its reserve increases, the banks checking account at the Central
Bank grows, and consequently the bank will expand the money supply
(because that is how it makes money under fractional-reserve banking).
Hence the supply of money is inversely related to the demand for
cash.
The bank runs
are now checked by the Central Bank which is to its member banks
a "lender of last resort": it will lend cash to the bank or purchase
its assets at any time. The establishment of FDIC has further reduced
the probability of a bank run by "insuring" every deposit up to
a certain maximum through the government's power to tax and print
new money. And with the Central Bank in the picture, there is little
danger to any particular bank from the demands for redemption from
other banks. All banks can now expand together at the same time
on the top of the reserves supplied by the Central Bank. How it
is done? In a system of many competitive banks, no bank can expand
all the way up to its money multiplier (that is, 1 / reserve
requirement), because of the threat of redemption by other
banks. The maximum that it can expand is 1 reserve
requirement. If the reserve requirement is 20%, then the
first bank can expand by 80%. This way, when this cash is transferred
to its customer's bank, it will still keep enough to satisfy the
legal reserve requirement, i.e., 100 80 = 20%. But the next
bank will, too, expand by 80% of the money that it received; so
will the third bank; and so on. The total expansion will be equal
to Σ(1 p)i x n which converges
to n / (1 (1 p)) = n / p.
Thus the total expansion will be set to the money multiplier even
though no individual expansion is.
The Central
Bank can control this expansion in two ways: either by lowering
or raising the reserve requirements or by manipulating the total
reserves. Since the reserve requirements are fairly steady and,
whenever they are changed, are changed only slightly, the question
is, How does the Central Bank control the total reserves? One such
way is by extending short-term loans to banks through what is known
as the discount window. Although supposedly these loans are the
"last resort" and should command a higher than normal interest rate,
the rate was, at least until recently, set to be below the
prime rate, which is inflationary, because it encourages banks to
take loan money from the Fed and then re-lend it. There is also
the very active "federal funds market," which
is "the market in which banks can borrow or lend reserves, allowing
banks temporarily short of their required reserves to borrow reserves
from banks that have excess reserves." Here it is the banks themselves
rather than the Fed that lend money to their fellow banks.
The Fed also
fixes the money supply by engaging in open market operations. By
purchasing securities, such as government bonds, it increases the
total reserves, because the commercial banks that cash the checks
that the Fed writes on itself for its purchases will have their
demand deposits at the Fed increased by the amounts on the checks,
which permits them to pyramid credit on top of the new reserves;
by selling them, it decreases the total reserves through a similar
mechanism. (What if the Central Bank decides to buy up the whole
country in this way? It can certainly try, but then the resulting
hyperinflation will probably derail this plan.) In other words,
according to the Fed,
Purchasing
securities or arranging a repurchase agreement increases the quantity
of balances because the Federal Reserve creates balances when it
credits the account of the seller's depository institution at the
Federal Reserve for the amount of the transaction; there is no corresponding
offset in another institution's account. [Since the seller of the
securities bought by the Fed must go to his bank in order to deposit
the cash received.] Conversely, selling securities or conducting
a reverse repurchase agreement decreases the quantity of Federal
Reserve balances because the Federal Reserve extinguishes balances
when it debits the account of the purchaser's depository institution
at the Federal Reserve; there is no corresponding increase in another
institution's account. [Again, the buyer gives the Fed a check drawn
on his account in his bank; when the Fed receives the money, it
debits the bank's account and retires the cash.]
The Trade
Cycle
According to
Greenspan, "since the late '70s, central bankers generally have
behaved as though we were on the gold standard." Not so fast, Maestro.
The point is that central banking cannot, in principle, replace
the automatic mechanism of the market.
Because the
interest rate set by the Fed does not reflect the real rate as determined
by the consumers, entrepreneurs are deceived into thinking that
the consumers prefer them to focus on the production of goods that
take longer time to be brought into existence. Their belief is that
the consumers prefer future goods to the present goods to a greater
extent that they in fact do. Hence the wrong signals cause a misallocation
of resources into ultimately unsustainable projects. They are unsustainable
because the pool of real savings is unable to support all the projects
being undertaken. Thus the seeds of a bust are sown in the preceding
boom.
Gold Standard
Once More
So here's what
I find odd. People worry about all sorts of things. They worry about
their families, their 401Ks, the declining morals, and so on and
so forth. What they don't worry about is that their money
is backed by nothing at all. So great is their faith in the power,
wisdom, and virtue of the federal government that they think that
our money is in good hands. Fellas, the situation is actually very
precarious. The whole thing is unstable and unsafe. You know it,
and that's why you've bought shares of that precious metals mutual
fund. You also sense that the government guys are not
as good as gold. It is very important that they be restrained so
that our money becomes gold-solid and not paper-thin and not subject
to unpredictable manipulation by the secular gnostics of the Federal
Reserve who think that the rules do not apply to them. Let's start
worrying about this, because it's worth worrying about!
Further, I
tell you, you've been had. You are a dupe, a sucker, a sap.
The banksters are laughing at you all the way to the bank.
Look, they print their own money at the expense of your savings!
They are the official counterfeiters. Honestly, I can't believe
you fell for the oldest trick in the state's book. Doesn't that
bother you? For how long are you going to keep being the loser?
The eggheads at the Federal Reserve are frauds. So wise up and let's
do something about it!
Further, if
the lifeblood of the economy, our medium of exchange, store of value,
and unit of account that allows our most important social institution,
the market, to operate, is dishonest poisoned by the
corrupt authorities who sold their souls for riches, how
can we expect all other aspects of life to remain honest? Paper
currency that can be inflated at will by a mysterious cabal exudes
chaos and perversion. The corruption then spreads throughout society,
affecting everyone. Fiat money, in short, is an abomination unto
the Lord. So praise the Lord and let gold be king once more.
Finally, the
fiat monetary regime is outrageously inefficient. The exhausting
boom and bust cycles and global economic instability are due to
the large extent to unsound currencies. After decades of Keynes
have economists finally lost their minds? Are they senile and incompetent
old men whose only skill is putting cheap magic shows of turning
stones into bread? Get back to school, fellas, and then help to
force sound money onto the state.
Conclusion
Gold is not
a "barbarous relic" as Lord Keynes famously called it. Nor do the
proponents of the gold standard suffer from any "gold fetish." They
simply realize that gold and silver have usually been chosen as
money for such qualities as being already in heavy demand, scarce,
highly divisible, portable, and durable, and having high value per
unit of weight that make them ideal as media of exchange.
The
fiat dollar standard is probably the most intractable problem in
the U.S. and the world, simply because there is no debate going
on about the pros and cons of its alternatives. It may take a crisis
or hyperinflation to prompt Americans to realize the virtues of
commodity money. Fortunately, no matter how exalted and surrounded
in mystery the Federal Reserve is, it is always in danger, for if
only the public knew how cleverly they are swindled of their savings
through inflation and how much wealth they lose due to economic
inefficiencies, they would not permit it to continue.
December
26, 2005
Dmitry
Chernikov [send him
mail] is a graduate student in philosophy at Kent State University.
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© 2005 LewRockwell.com
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