Empire of Dirt
by
Bill Bonner
by Bill Bonner
You could
have it all
My empire of dirt
I will let you down
I will make you hurt
~
Hurt, by Trent Reznor of Nine Inch Nails
"What
I don't understand," Elizabeth began a conversation on our last
day in Rome, "is why the barbarians the Huns, the Goths, the Vandals
and so forth, wanted to destroy the empire? They could see that
people lived better inside the empire than outside...I mean, they
had central heating, warm baths, art...and just look at all those
beautiful buildings. Wouldn't it have made more sense for them to
join it, rather than tear it down?"
We
had no answer, save resignation.
"Yes,
well, you might as well ask why the Romans went to all the trouble
to build up their empire in the first place? Wouldn't it have been
much more reasonable to enjoy life here in Rome...?"
And
here we offer readers a history of the rise and fall of the world's
greatest empire, as brief as the latest Italian underpants.
In
the 8th century B.C., Rome was nothing more than a collection of
villages along the Tiber, inhabited by a collection of tribes, principally
Latin, Sabine, and Etruscan. Gradually, these "Romans"
grew in number and power and went to war with almost everyone.
In a celebrated early incident, perhaps only legendary, they invited
their neighbors, the Sabines, to a feast...and then stole their
women. The Sabine men did not celebrate; instead, they took offense
and nursed a grudge.
But
there was hardly a tribe, kingdom or empire in Europe, North Africa
or the Middle East with whom the Romans did not pick a fight. After
the Sabine war, there were wars against the Albii, the Etruscans,
the Volcii, Carthaginians, Etruscans again, the Latin league
and this is only a partial list the Volsquii, the Equii,
the Veieii, the Gauls, Samnites, more Gauls, Epirians, Carthaginians
again, and more Gauls, Macedonians, Syrians, Macedonians again,
slaves in Sicily, Parthians...and even Romans in the civil wars...and
we have not even arrived at Caesar's wars against the Gauls in 5851
B.C. Roman history has another 500 years of wars to go!
The
civil wars in the 1st century B.C. put an end to the Republic...then,
Caesar crossed the Rubicon. It was a new era in Rome, an era of
Empire. It was as if Tommy Franks decided to move his army to Washington
and make a regime change of his own. Some people would object, of
course...the liberal papers would howl...but most people wouldn't
care.
In
ancient Rome, as in modern Washington, people chose their ideas
like they chose their clothes they wanted something that not only
did the job, but also something that was fashionable. And at the
time, it was à la mode for emperors and individuals alike
to pretend that they lived in a free republic, which honored citizens'
rights, but in practice...the government, and its leader, could
do what they liked. And what they seemed to like doing was going
out and making war against everyone they thought they could beat.
Back
then, of course, war was a paying proposition. When emperor Trajan
took Ctesiphon (near modern Baghdad) he captured 100,000 people
who were sold into slavery. When Augustus took Egypt, he used the
Nile's wheat harvest to feed the growing population of rabble in
Rome.
But
while some people came out ahead, in the aggregate, wars then
as now were negative-gain enterprises. And as the empire grew,
the costs mounted, too, to the point where both became grotesque
and insupportable.
"Until
the rule of Augustus (who was installed as the first ruler of the
Roman Empire in 27 B.C.)," writes Marc Faber, "the Romans only used
pure gold and silver coins. In order to finance his vast infrastructure
expenditures, Augustus ordered that government-owned mines in Spain
and France should be exploited 24 hours a day, a measure which increased
the money supply significantly and also led to rising prices. (It
is estimated that between 27 B.C. and 6 B.C., prices in Rome doubled.)
In the second half of his reign (6 B.C. to A.D. 14), Augustus reduced
coinage drastically, as he recognized that the expanded money supply
had led to the rise in prices."
But
Rome wasn't built in a day...nor was its money destroyed overnight.
In A.D. 64, in Nero's reign, the aureus was reduced by 10% of its
weight. Thereafter, whenever the Romans needed more money to finance
their wars, their public improvements, their social welfare services
and circuses, and their trade deficit, they reduced the metal content
of the coins. By time Odoacer deposed the last emperor in 476, the
denarius contained only 0.02% silver.
Still,
the impulse to build up an empire seems to be as strong as the impulse
to tear one down. To the question, when does a country aim for empire,
comes the answer: whenever it can.
Every
country in Europe has at one time or another reached for the imperial
purple. Portugal and Spain discovered and conquered vast jungles,
swamps and pampas...and built empires of them. For Spain, the conquests
were extremely profitable after they found huge quantities
of gold and silver. But nothing ruins a nation faster than easy
money. The money supply grew larger with every ship's return from
the New World. People felt rich, but prices soon soared. Worse,
the easy money from the new territories undermined honest industry.
In the bubble economy of the early 16th century, Spain developed
a trade deficit similar to that of the U.S. today. People took their
money and bought goods from abroad. By the time the New World mines
petered out, the Spanish were bankrupt. The Spanish government defaulted
on its loans in 1557, 1575, 1607, 1627, and 1647. The damage was
not only severe, it was long lasting. The Iberian Peninsula became
the "sick man of Europe" and remained on bed-rest until
the 1980s.
France
and England built their own empires in the 18th and 19th centuries.
Napoleon's conquests took less than a dozen years to complete...but
the empire collapsed even faster. By the end of the 19th century,
all that was left of the French empire were a few islands no one
could find on a map and some godforsaken colonies in Africa that
the French would soon regret ever having laid eyes upon. Almost
all were lost, forgotten or surrendered by the 1960s with nothing
much to show for them except what you find in the Louvre...and a
population of African immigrants who now weigh heavily on France's
social welfare budget.
England's
empire was much grander, stretched further, and left more debris
when it collapsed. But the end result was about the same: the pound
had been degraded and the British were nearly bankrupt, while the
crime rate in central London rose to surpass that in New York...thanks
largely to immigration from the former colonies.
Germany
lost its overseas colonies after WWI. It then created another empire
by conquest in the late '30s and early '40s. The enterprise
ran into Russia's empire in the East resulting in history's largest
and bloodiest land battles. In the end, thanks partly to American
intervention on the side of the Russians, the German empire was
destroyed. The Russians' empire collapsed under its own weight 44
years later.
Empires,
like bubble markets, end up where they began. Rome began as a town
on the Tiber, with sheep grazing on the hills. A bull market in
Roman property lasted about 1000 years from 700 B.C. to about
300 A.D., when temples, monuments and villas crowded the Palatine.
Then, a bear market began...which also lasted at least 1000 years.
As
late as the 18th century, Rome was once again a city on the Tiber...with
sheep grazing on the hillsides, amid broken marble columns and immense
brick walls. They had been built for a reason...but no one could
recall why.
April
29, 2004
Bill
Bonner [send
him mail] is the author, with Addison Wiggin, of Financial
Reckoning Day: Surviving the Soft Depression of The 21st
Century.
Copyright
© 2004 LewRockwell.com
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