As
We Go Marching
by
Bill Bonner
by Bill Bonner
"The mind
thus turned loose, thus emancipated from facts, took unexpected
directions..."
~ John T. Flynn
"One
of the funny things about the situation..." Alexander Chancellor
began a sentence, speaking of the war in Iraq, "is the way the Germans
have come through this...
"They
took the same position as the French they didn't want to get involved.
But the American press focused on the French as traitors and cowards...and
hardly mentioned the Germans."
The
Germans occupy a special place in recent world history.
"Give
a German a gun and he heads for France," was a common expression
in the last century.
"The
Hun is either at your throat or at your feet," was another.
People
wondered what it was about the Germans that had made them so ready
to go to war...and so willing to go along with ghastly deeds on
a national scale. Was it something in their blood, in their culture...or
in their water?
Now,
of course, the Hun has been tamed; the Kraut has become a pacifist.
America urges him to join the war against Iraq, but he demurs; he
has had his fill of war.
And
so the question is more puzzling than ever. Has his blood changed?
His Kultur? Or his economy?
We
raise the question after beginning a marvelous little book by John
T. Flynn, As
We Go Marching, written during WWII.
Flynn
argues that fascism had no particular connection to the Germans
themselves...nor was there anything in the Teuton spirit that made
them especially susceptible. Instead, he points out that the creed
was largely developed by an Italian opportunist, Benito Mussolini.
It was the fat Italian who figured out the main parts including
the glorious theatrical elements. The Germans merely added their
own corruptions and attached a peculiarly vicious policy of persecuting,
and later exterminating, Jews.
But
it is Flynn's description of the economic circumstances in Italy
in the late 19th and early 20th centuries the fertile soil in
which fascism took root and flourished that caught our attention.
Italy
went to war, in the month of September, 1911, against Turkey. The
war was over 12 months later and soon forgotten by everyone.
But
the impulse that drove the Italians to war in the first place...and
led to their next move...was the focus of Flynn's attention:
"The
vengeance of the Italian spirit upon Fate was not appeased. Instead,
the appetite for glory was whetted. And once more glory did its
work upon the budget. But once more peace dreadful and realistic
peace peace the bill collector, heavy with her old problems
was back in Rome. The deficits were larger. The debt was greater...the
various economic planners were more relentless than ever in their
determination to subject the capitalist system to control."
Perhaps
they should have lowered interest rates. Or pressured China to raise
its currency. Any policy initiative, no matter how absurd, could
be considered. As Flynn puts it: "Out of Italy [as out of America
currently] had gone definitely any important party committed to
the theory that the economic system should be free."
Italy
had dug herself into a deep hole of debt. Between 1859 when the
centralized Italian state came into being and 1925, the government
ran deficits more than twice as often as it ran surpluses. Politicians,
who depended upon giving away other people's money, found themselves
with little left to give away.
"All
the old evils were growing in malignance," writes Flynn. "The national
debt was rising ominously. The army, navy, and social services were
absorbing half the revenues of the nation. Italy was the most heavily
taxed nation in proportion to her wealth in Europe."
Of
course, there followed many episodes of financial risorgimento and
many pledges to put the books in order. None of it stuck for long.
Italian politicians were soon making promises again.
When
grand promises must be fulfilled, debt creeps higher...and so does
the resistance of taxpayers and lenders, especially from conservative
groups.
"Hence
it becomes increasingly difficult to go on spending in the presence
of persisting deficits and rising debt," writes Flynn. "Some form
of spending must be found that will command the support of conservative
groups. Political leaders, embarrassed by their subsidies to the
poor, soon learned that one of the easiest ways to spend money is
on military establishments and armaments, because it commands the
support of the groups most opposed to spending."
Military
spending gives an economy the false impression of growth and prosperity.
People are put to work building expensive military hardware. Assembly
lines roll and smoke stacks smoke. Plus, the spending goes into
the domestic economy. Americans, for example, may buy their gee-gaws
from China, but their tanks are homemade.
Military
adventures not only seem to stimulate the domestic economy; they
also goose up popular support for government. Soon, "it was a time
for greatness..." as Flynn describes the approach of war. War, Giovanni
Papini raved, was "the great anvil of fire and blood on which strong
peoples are hammered."
The
romantic appeal of war...and the political pull of military spending...the
economic delusion...the polished brass and boots...it was all too
much to resist. Despite a disastrous experience in WWI, under Mussolini's
leadership, even the fun-loving Italians were soon marching around
like popinjays and getting out maps of Abysinnia.
Even
Americans were impressed. "He is something new and vital in the
sluggish old veins of European politics," said Sol Bloom, then chairman
of the House Foreign Relations Committee in 1926. "It will be a
great thing not only for Italy but for all of us if he succeeds."
In
investments, as in war, an early defeat is often more rewarding
than a later one. Fortunately for the Italians, the African campaign
was a fiasco. In a few years, Mussolini was hanging from a meat
hook and Italians went back to making shoes, handbags and pasta.
September
24, 2005
Bill
Bonner [send
him mail] is the author, with Addison Wiggin, of Financial
Reckoning Day: Surviving the Soft Depression of The 21st
Century and
Empire of Debt: The Rise Of An Epic Financial Crisis.
Copyright
© 2005 Bill Bonner
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