In a state far less meaningful for the GOP nomination than the MSM makes it out to be, polls are showing a 4-way tie in Florida among Giuliani, McCain, Romney, and Huckabee.

First, the state’s delegate count has already been cut in half to 57, putting it on par with Missouri for delegate clout. Second, 2/3rds of its delegates are alloted by Congressional district, and with a 4-way tie nobody is going to sweep the state. Giuliani’s support resides among the 10% of Floridians that are former New Yorkers, most of which reside in South Florida (and many of them are liberal democrats). McCain and Romney will do well in Southern Florida as well. In Northern Florida and the panhandle, Huckabee will do extremely well, and Thompson may even win a district; McCain will probably win the heavily militarized 1st Congressional District.

The 19 remaining delegates that will go to the winner of the state-wide vote, on par with Delaware. Now, there is some confusion whether Florida will allot its reduced delegates in a statewide winner-take all (WTA) or WTA by district. Since nothing official has been published to change the delegate allocation, I’m assuming that it stays allocated by district.