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Taxes
and Distortion
The
government always wants more of our money, and too many economists
are ready to make the case for surrendering our last dime. During
the budget hysteria of 1990, for example, many economists claimed
that the government needed to raise taxes to balance the budget.
Anyone who disagreed was supposedly unwilling to confront the hard
fiscal reality that the public needed to be taxed more.
Five
years later, spending and taxes were higher than ever, and the deficit
still giant. Meanwhile, these economists didn't repudiate their
bad advice. They had moved on to denounce the per-child tax credit,
which they called an "expenditure" that "we" can't "afford." It
would cause "distortions" in the market and wouldn't help economic
growth.
Economists
who serve as the government's intellectual shocktroops don't want
people to be allowed to keep more of their own money. The particulars
don't seem to matter. Outside the Austrian School, few economists
have any kind words for tax breaks. Likewise, they can't praise
tax increases enough, for a tax increase, they promise, will balance
the budget, though it never does and never will.
Surely
no tax deduction has been so despised by non-Austrian economists,
but loved by everyone else, as the home-mortgage deduction. Just
as quickly as the child tax credit took a dive, a new hysteria began,
this time to repeal one of the last remaining tax breaks for regular
Americans.
This
deduction, we were told, is a terrible remnant of a bygone era when
tax policy encouraged people to buy homes. This "bias" in the law
has caused a "distortion" in the market by "subsidizing" home purchases.
For that reason, the tax break must be repealed, the distortion
eliminated, and the middle class made to shape up.
How
will this affect the home prices and the real estate market in general?
Not at all, these economists say. Homes will be more affordable
because interest rates will fall. What they don't explain is how
this "distortion" can be eliminated without causing a decrease in
the demand for housing, and thus a fall in housing prices and an
industry-specific downturn.
In
fact, there is nothing horrible or distorting about people spending
their own money on something they want, which in this case is homes.
A tax break cannot create a demand for a product. It only makes
a product slightly more inviting to purchase as compared with more
highly taxed alternatives. The real "distortion" is not the tax
break but the remaining high taxes.
Neither
can a tax break be called a subsidy. People can deduct the interest,
but that's not the same thing as taking other people's money. It
means that a tiny bit of income is sheltered from the tax police.
And
why is this the only remnant of the old days that we are supposed
to repeal? Why not Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Ginnie Mae, FHA, and
VA subsidized mortgages? And if we are worried about "subsidies"
to housing, why not stop funding the gigantic public housing industry?
Or why not save $30 billion and abolish HUD, big housing's best
friend?
No,
that's not part of the discussion, even though these remnants do
distort the market by using tax dollars to promote and finance mortgages,
and construct free homes.
If
economists worry that the mortgage-interest deduction causes more
single-family houses to be bought than apartments rented, there's
a way out. Introduce a deduction for rental payments, so there's
no financial advantage to buying over renting. But the fact that
this is ruled out shows that the real bias is toward helping the
government.
Since
repealing this tax break is the same as increasing taxes, it is
doubly irresponsible for economists and politicians who claim to
favor free markets to add their voices to the chorus of deduction
haters. Repealing deductions doesn't make the market more free;
it only leads to more plunder of property owners and less prosperity.
But
if the mortgage-interest deduction is repealed, won't interest rates
go down? Not necessarily. It is impossible to look at, say, a 7%
interest rate and know how much of it is the "real" rate, how much
is the inflation premium, and how much is a result of tax policy.
Predictions
about falling interest rates are as likely to come true as any other
econometric prophecy. We can only know that we will be denied one
of the few remaining windows of tax freedom left in American life.
Notice
too how economists who gripe about the "distortions" of tax deductions
never bring up the distortions of taxes. The income and social security
taxes, which together can rob America's most productive citizens
of up to half their earnings, discourage work, saving, and investment,
and act as a drag on economic growth.
The
words distortion and taxes are inseparable. Medicare taxes reduce
medical savings. Excise taxes discourage production of the good
being taxed. Inheritance taxes cause people to shorten their time
horizons and drain savings before death. Nanny taxes reduce the
amount and quality of child care.
The
average American works 171 days, from January 1 until June 20, just
to pay his taxes. We hardly ever hear about this distortion, while
the fact that people are allowed a little tax freedom when they
buy a house causes a frenzy.
It
just goes to show, once again, that America has produced no greater
crop of liars and scoundrels than most economists, ever anxious
to give the government more power and always ready to offer a pseudo-scientific
excuse to reduce our liberties.
Alone
among those running for president, Steve Forbes dared question the
idea of revenue neutrality (code for: "the government's income can
never be allowed to fall"). Good for him: his proposal for lower
taxes as versus just shifted-around taxes stole the show because
it was exactly what overtaxed Americans wanted to hear.
But
he undermined his message by calling for the repeal of all remaining
tax deductions, including the charitable deduction. Predictably,
bad economists also denounced this deduction, and assured us that
its repeal would eliminate another "distortion."
In
an age of Leviathan, with falling living standards and ever-higher
taxes, there's only one kind of tax reform worth pursuing: that
which gives us lower and lower taxes until freedom, prosperity,
and private property are again safe from the government. Only when
taxes are no longer a burden on business and families can we say
that real distortions have been repealed.
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