It Is Time to Admit the Obvious: The Political Classes Deliberately
Are Blocking an Economic Recovery
by
William L. Anderson
by William L. Anderson
These are heady
times at the editorial offices of the New York Times and
at the Washington, D.C., home of Sojourners. Columnist Thomas
Frank of the Wall Street Journal cannot contain his glee,
and the editors of The Nation are enraptured. College and
university faculty members still are celebrating. Indeed, one would
think that "Happy Days are Here Again" is playing over
and over wherever there is a music box.
Barack Obama
has delivered. He not only has produced a federal budget so profligate
that even Paul
Krugman has endorsed it, but his actions on the tax-borrow-spend
front have earned the
praise of none other than God Himself. That’s right, Jim Wallis,
the founder and leader of the Marxist organization Sojourners, has
studied the highlights of the document and declared them fit for
praise
from the Almighty. Thus, we finally are seeing the convergence
of the atheists and those who say they believe in God: all can worship
Obama.
I have scanned
many writers and editorial pages and websites that make their home
on the Left, and all seem consistent in their praise of the president’s
new proposals. After Obama’s recent speech to Congress, Wallis
gushed:
This wasn’t
really a budget speech, or even a State of the Union. It was a
call to rebuild a country – from its infrastructure, to its
economy, to its values. Last night, Barack Obama called a new
generation to a new American future. And from the "twittering"
and Facebook status updates I am aware of going on last night,
the new generation stayed up late to watch and got the speech
they wanted – a vision for the new America they hope to raise
their children in.
Lest one think
that Wallis was enjoying just a momentary flash of glee, read on:
Some people
don’t like strong leadership. I do. And this is the kind of leadership
that calls and inspires people to act themselves and be part of
the solutions we need. I like that too. And it’s a new kind of
leadership that invites being held accountable to results. That’s
fair.
Obama has
a vision and last night offered a road map. And he invited citizens
across the political spectrum to bring their own ideas but to
join the journey and stop standing by the side of the road with
their arms folded in critique. Disagreement comes with a responsibility
to offer better ideas, says this president.
The words
of Ty’Sheoma, a school girl from South Carolina, sitting in the
gallery next to Michelle Obama, were lifted up by President Obama
last night. She wrote the Congress to ask for help for her school
but wanted them to know, "We are not quitters."
Furthermore,
lest one thinks that Wallis is speaking only for himself, read these
recent words from Paul Krugman:
Elections
have consequences. President Obama’s new budget represents a huge
break, not just with the policies of the past eight years, but
with policy trends over the past 30 years. If he can get anything
like the plan he announced on Thursday through Congress, he will
set America on a fundamentally new course.
The budget
will, among other things, come as a huge relief to Democrats who
were starting to feel a bit of postpartisan depression. The stimulus
bill that Congress passed may have been too weak and too focused
on tax cuts. The administration’s refusal to get tough on the
banks may be deeply disappointing. But fears that Mr. Obama would
sacrifice progressive priorities in his budget plans, and satisfy
himself with fiddling around the edges of the tax system, have
now been banished.
As the Obama
administration continues on its legislative and political path,
I think that we have to re-frame the terms of the argument. For
most people, the dispute supposedly is over the way to an economic
recovery. On one side, there is the Keynesian demand that we spend
out way out of the crisis, and the recent Nobel Prize conferred
on Krugman, who is the loudest and most prominent spokesman for
this policy prescription, supposedly lends this path some legitimacy.
On the other
side, there are people like Peter Schiff and the Austrian Economists
and mainstream economists like Robert
Barro, who say that the government’s "solution" is
upside down and is making the economic crisis worse. Writes Barro:
Given our
situation, it is right that radical government policies should
be considered if they promise to lower the probability and likely
size of a depression. However, many governmental actions including
several pursued by Franklin Roosevelt during the Great Depression
can make things worse.
I wish I
could be confident that the array of U.S. policies already in
place and those likely forthcoming will be helpful. But I think
it more likely that the economy will eventually recover despite
these policies, rather than because of them.
As one who
admires Schiff and others who have spoken out and told the truth
– and I believe they are correct – I believe that it is time for
us to understand a basic truth that is coming out of the new regime:
There is not going to be a recovery, and that is just fine with
Obama and the political classes that now have a death grip on our
lives.
This is a harsh
and seemingly conspiratorial statement, and people who know me know
that I am extremely skeptical of "conspiracy theories,"
yet here I am peddling what some very well might call a "conspiracy
theory." Do I believe that what Washington is doing is a diabolical
plot aimed at fundamentally changing the U.S. economy in a way that
economic depression will be a permanent way of life?
In a word,
yes. The Obama and Democratic proposals are not simply economic
documents. They are fundamentally political in nature and they reflect
an understanding that few people have of the Great Depression.
When people
discuss the Great Depression, it usually is in the context of whether
or not the New Deal was "successful." Economists such
as Robert Higgs and Murray Rothbard have argued that it was not,
and Barro’s comments above add to that side of the discussion. On
the other hand, we have a
recent article in Salon which claimed that the New Deal
produced "spectacular" economic growth, and we also have
Krugman’s columns which claim that the only problem with the New
Deal was that Franklin Roosevelt did not spend enough money because
the "conservatives" had his ear.
Now, I go with
the first group. The New Deal was an unqualified economic failure,
if one judges economic "success" by things like unemployment
rates, private investment, real output, and the move of people from
lives of poverty to lives of plenty. Unemployment stayed in double
digits throughout the decade, many people lived in poverty, and
the economic output never did match what it had been during the
1920s.
However, I
have to add something that most people leave out of the discussion:
the New Deal was an unqualified political success, and it
was successful precisely because it blocked the economic recovery.
This is counter-intuitive, I realize. I have heard discussion in
the halls of my university that the public will lose patience with
Obama and the Democrats if they don’t deliver and "political
guru" Dick Morris even predicts that further economic failure
will result in the Republicans gaining political strength.
Don’t count
on it. During the 1930s, the Roosevelt administration never had
to worry about losing political power, and it held and added to
its political majorities. Roosevelt even won a third term
of office although the first eight years of his presidency had barely
moved the rate of unemployment below what it had been during the
worst days of the Herbert Hoover administration.
This spectacular
run of political power did not come in spite of the economic
crisis; it came because of it. The crisis never ended, and
that provided vast opportunities for the political classes in Washington
to add to their power over the lives of individuals.
We have to
remember that with the exception of the U.S. entry into World War
I, most Americans had little contact with governments, and especially
the federal government. They lived their lives mostly employed in
private business, and with their own families and private associations
like churches and clubs.
The Great Depression
and the New Deal changed all of that. Americans who once had held
jobs that were lifting them from poverty now had to depend upon
the pittance of money they received from Washington to keep them
from sliding off into economic oblivion. The Works Progress Administration
might have paid very little, but whatever money these people received
helped to keep them alive for another month.
As James Couch
and William Shughart have pointed out in their book, The
Political Economy of the New Deal, the Roosevelt administration
understood the political power that it had and, more important,
the power that it held over the very survival of individuals and
their families. In previous times, people could have ignored what
was going on in Washington, but during the years of the New Deal,
that no longer was possible.
Indeed, they
were utterly dependent upon the political classes in Washington
and that meant voting "for the right people." In his recent
Christmas Day column, Krugman claimed
that the Roosevelt administration was nonpolitical in its economic
spending, and provided a roadmap for "good government."
The meticulous research of Couch and Shughart exposes Krugman’s
claim for the Big Lie that it is. Indeed, the New Deal was a vast
vote-buying scheme created and maintained for one purpose: keeping
Roosevelt and his party in power, and it succeeded beyond expectations.
We know that
Obama and his political minions have been reading all about FDR
and the New Deal, and we also know they have not been reading Murray
Rothbard or Ludwig von Mises. They know all about how FDR and the
New Dealers manipulated policies and continuously blocked an economic
recovery that would not come about until after Roosevelt was dead
and government spending was reduced drastically.
A true economic
recovery would mean that the government would play a secondary role
in our lives at best. That clearly is not good enough for Obama
and the Democrats, who are not interested in being politically irrelevant.
Just as the Republicans’ "K-Street Project" was about
forcing businesses and individuals to pay protection money to the
GOP, the Democrats are going to stay in power because anyone who
votes against them is not going to be able to find meaningful employment.
A true economic
recovery would strengthen businesses and families, but it would
do so at the expense of the power of the political classes.
Such a state of affairs no longer is acceptable in Washington, and
Obama and his friends are going to make sure that we don’t forget
that either.
The
key to holding power, however, is blocking an economic recovery
and having an economy in which double-digit unemployment is the
norm. Don’t think that this would trigger a revolt from the American
voters. Once the voters have come to believe that their own futures
are tied to the whims of the political classes, they will vote their
personal security. Furthermore, the administration and Congress
will do everything possible to further empower labor unions, and
we can look for huge inroads as the government simply will declare
that businesses and organizations become unionized – or else. Organized
labor is a political creation, and that means that every working
individual is going to constantly be scrutinized for political loyalties
– if that person wants to keep his or her job.
During the
1930s, the New Dealers said that the high rates of unemployment
were due to the fact that the U.S. economy was "mature."
I have not heard that term used just yet, but I am sure that sooner
or later, we are going to be told that double-digit unemployment
is going to be the permanent state of things, and that if we want
employment, we have to make sure that the "right people"
are happy with us.
March
5, 2009
William
L. Anderson, Ph.D. [send him
mail], teaches economics at Frostburg State University in Maryland,
and is an adjunct scholar of the Ludwig
von Mises Institute. He also is a consultant
with American Economic Services.
Copyright
© 2009 by LewRockwell.com. Permission to reprint in whole or in
part is gladly granted, provided full credit is given.
William
Anderson Archives
|