Previously by Ron Holland: A Middle East Warning: American-Style Democracy Isn't the Answer
One has needed a score card to keep up with the twists and turns of the situation in Libya and what will follow over the weekend is still unclear. My point is while we wish the people of Libya and their color revolution victory over crazy Gaddafi, they have likely been the unwitting pawns in a major deception by Washington to hide a dramatic Middle East foreign policy shift.
Highlights and Timeline
2/15 — Libyan color revolution begins.
3/3 — Obama finally says "Gaddafi must go" following previous two weeks of "It's up to the people of Libya to decide".
3/11 – US Intelligence chief says "Gaddafi will prevail".
3/14 — Troops from Saudi Arabia & forces from U.A.E. are invited by Bahrain to invade and martial law put into effect while Saudi government cracks down on opposition at home.
3/16 — Sudden policy shift, after opposing No Fly Zone, Obama Administration urges quick acceptance and UN resolution to use force.
3/17 — Gaddafi has warns Benghazi residents "We are coming tonight…There won't be any mercy".
3/17 — This was followed by UN Resolution authorizing No Fly Zone and use of force against Gaddafi.
3/18 — Libya proclaims ceasefire & halts military operations toward Benghazi after Gaddafi reoccupies most of oil fields.
Most of us are not old enough to have lived through the two greatest military deceptions of World War Two but you probably missed a similar operation during the last two weeks. The first was Hitler's threat of an invasion against England which actually masked plans for Operation Barbarossa against the Soviet Union and Stalin fell for it. The second was an American deception for D-Day called Operation Quicksilver to convince the German High Command that the allies would invade France at the Pas-de-Calais instead of Normandy. The General Staff believed the ruse, while Hitler did not but acquiesced surprising to the military and the rest is history.
I'm writing about what I will call "The Great Anglo-American Gaddafi Deception" and today in the age of the internet and immediate news and opinion, this deception is not against a military enemy. Rather for several weeks it has served to mask a major American foreign policy shift from both the American people and our former allies in the Middle East color revolution movement.
Gaddafi: A Freak Sideshow Deception
I seriously doubt this change will receive any mainstream media coverage at all because the evidence of a policy decision to allow Gaddafi to survive along with possible genocide and retribution to take place inside his controlled territory is not a pretty picture. This is a sideshow and modern-day, bread-and-circus directed event to capture the attention of the public and news media. Again, forget the talking head experts on cable, as the real story is not about Libya but rather about Bahrain and Saudi Arabia and the danger the color revolutions present to Anglo-American interests in the Middle East and the continued world reserve status of the US dollar.
What happens now in Libya is anyone's guess because it has served its purpose well and the delays provided the time necessary for Saudi Arabia and the Gulf council to invade tiny, insignificant Bahrain. The nation's only importance is the opportunity for use as an Iranian bridge to Saudi oil.
The small island nation produces little oil but it like the major oil-producing region of Saudi Arabia is home to a regional Shiite majority which could ally with Iran. Washington and London, controlled by Anglo-American elite financial interests have decreed that the color revolutions must end at the edge of the Sunni/Shiite oil-producing regions.
Simply put, the out-of-character US delays and back-and-forth statements and policy changes on Libya which provided Gaddafi free rein to advance and almost defeat the rebels was all a sideshow and diversion. Remember this was thought necessary before the sudden earthquake and tidal wave in Japan to keep the Saudi invasion, threat of genocide in Bahrain and against Shiites in the Saudi oil region off the front pages and cable news shows until the revolutions there could be contained.
It's All About the Dollar
The fiat US dollar only survives as the world's reserve currency because the majority of the oil producers demand payment in dollars. The important significance of this was detailed in Anthony Wile's recent "Mid-East Conflict Not Exactly About Oil" which appeared last week in The Daily Bell. Although Iran now sells oil in other currencies, the other major oil-producing nations still demand payment for oil in US dollars thus requiring ALL nations to utilize dollars as a reserve currency. Quoting Tony, "That is if they wanted to buy any oil — as dollars were what the Saudis and the rest of the OPEC members would accept. This created the effect of an ever-growing demand for dollars. And like any Ponzi scheme, you need an ever-expanding base of demand, or else it crumbles, which they all eventually do."
Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates dispatched forces to Bahrain on Monday to protect the Sunni ruling family in power from the Shiite majority in Bahrain which if successful could threaten Saudi oil reserves in eastern Saudi Arabia. While Gaddafi is a madman and the Saudi Royal Family are one of the better ruling elites in the region, the case could just as easily be made for a UN resolution against Saudi Arabia and the UAE actions as the Libyan situation if this were in the best interests of the Anglo-American foreign policy and monetary interests.
While the mainstream news and propaganda talks incessantly about the sudden Obama Administration policy shift toward Libya on Thursday, the real policy change took place several weeks ago with the color revolutions sweeping the Arab world. Washington and London have decided the greatest threat to the Anglo-American control and their power structure are the freedom revolutionaries in the Middle East.
It is not that they oppose freedom or favor authoritarian regimes. Rather this new movement is decentralized, internet and social media based and outside their control. This threatens the oil and dollar schemes they have been running in the Middle East but impacting the rest of the world for over 60 years and hence the reason for the policy shift.
Therefore, if you are following the news over the weekend whether the UN approved use of military force takes place against Gaddafi or he digs in and sits on his oil resources while the West gets mired down in another Middle East intervention, remember the real action is taking place elsewhere.
The important and in their view, necessary actions are happening in and around Saudi Arabia as Washington together with the oil producing countries near Iran are taking care of business to maintain their control over oil resources, the payment in dollars and to contain the freedom revolutions which threaten their interests. Remember, it's all about the dollar being maintained for a while longer as the world reserve currency and oil resources. The establishment of democratic forms of government or whether the people will have a decision over their future in the area is immaterial to the survival of the status quo in Washington and the region.
Ron Holland [send him mail] is a contributing editor to the Swiss Mountain Vision Newsletter and Chairman of the Advisory Board of the Foundation for the Advancement of Free-Market Thinking (FAFMT) in Vaduz, Liechtenstein.