The Falling Bottom Line

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It is a bad science fiction movie written by mad political scientists.

Exactly eight years to the day that President George W. Bush took America and his "Coalition of the Willing" to war with Iraq, President Barack Obama has taken America and his "Broad Coalition" to war with Libya.

And just as the world was sold a "coalition of the willing" that was predominantly a fleeting alliance of the cajoled and the arm-twisted, the putatively "broad" Obama coalition consists primarily of America's two cronies-in-war, the UK and France.

Only in a mad political science fiction movie could a President engaged in perpetuating two unjust, immoral, interminable, and expensive wars begun by his predecessor, take his nation into yet another unjust, immoral, expensive, and, in all likelihood, interminable war … and expect a happy ending!

Eight years of war in Iraq and 11 in Afghanistan have resolved nothing and served only to inflame anti-American sentiment around the world, drain the US treasury, kill and wound hundreds of thousands, if not millions, of innocent people, and destroy the lives, limbs, and souls of thousands of American troops.

Batting zero on the battlefield, the mad political scientists have stepped up to the plate again. Despite nothing but failure, President Obama has decided, unilaterally, to squander still more American men and money in a war on Libya, promising that this time he won't strike out.

In what could be a casting call for a mad sci-fi movie starring the Three Stooges, America's newest Decider-in-Chief fights from the safety of the Oval Office while his equally battle-unscarred and chicken-hearted French and British counterparts, Nicolas "Sarko the American" Sarkozy and David (Eton/Oxford, what else?) Cameron lead the charge from the plush distance of the Palais de l’Élysée and 10 Downing Street.

Having accurately predicted, at their onsets, that the Afghan and Iraq wars would be failures, we now predict that war with Libya will not only be equally unsuccessful, but could have even graver global implications. Will Gaddafi fold without a fight? Or, faced by defeat and certain death, will he hit London, Paris, or New York with bio warfare, a dirty bomb or other tactic?

Absent a worst-case terror attack, even if the "broad coalition" overthrows and kills Qaddaifi, it will not amount to victory any more than executing Saddam Hussein and routing the Taliban has brought victory to Iraq and Afghanistan.

If it feels as though the world is spinning out of control, that's because it is … and at breakneck speed! In just the past few months, revolution has engulfed the entire Middle East and North Africa. In just the past week a gigantic earthquake, tsunami, and nuclear meltdown has crippled Japan. And war, (under whatever guise; e.g., "humanitarian crisis" or "answering the call of a threatened people") has been declared on Libya.

The trend to the "1st Great War of the 21st Century" is accelerating. Events are happening so quickly that it is nearly impossible for us to compile, absorb, analyze, and distill the voluminous information in our Trend Alerts before they are eclipsed by the cascade of new events.

It is in our Spring Trends Journal, now scheduled for mid April publication, where we will compile, absorb, analyze and distill the voluminous information. This edition represents a crucial episode in the "History of the Future" — a blow-by-blow build-up to war, rather than the mainstream media's blah-by-blah coverage. Busy cheerleading the home team they are, even at this late stage, incapable of recognizing that the game ends with the 1st Great War of the 21st Century.

Gerald Celente is founder and director of The Trends Research Institute, author of Trends 2000 and Trend Tracking (Warner Books), and publisher of The Trends Journal. He has been forecasting trends since 1980, and recently called “The Collapse of '09.”

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