Government Weather Forecasting: A Corrupted Waste of Time and Money

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Official weather
forecasting hasn’t improved since it began and is of insufficient
accuracy to be useful. Official climate forecasts produced by the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), are wrong, useless
and dangerous. Weather and climate has been totally politicized
through government involvement so it’s time to eliminate them
in forecasting and research and reduce their role to data collection.
Neither weather nor climate forecasts have improved over the centuries.
Robin Page, farmer/author in his book Weather
Forecasting: The Country Way
wrote, “Yet it is strange
to record that as the weather forecasting service has grown in size
and expense, so it’s predictions seem to have become more inaccurate.”
It isn’t strange but part of the deception government meteorologists
and climatologists practice in leading the public to believe they’re
improving because of bigger computers.

IPCC driving
policy on energy, environment and economy

Weather folklore
includes both weather and climate forecasts achieved without data.
“Red sky in the morning sailors warning; red sky at night sailors
delight” is an example of a weather forecast. The compelling
English comment that, “A wet May brings a good load of hay;
A hot May makes a fat churchyard” is a climate forecast because
it’s based on a pattern established over time. Today we still
have both, as national weather agencies provide weather forecasts
and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) make climate
projections. The fact the IPCC deliberately call them projections
and not forecasts is telling, as is the fact they are consistently
wrong. They are meaningless, yet they are driving triple E global
policies; energy, environment and economy.

They Know
The Truth But Continue The Deception

Ironically,
the late Stephen Schneider, who was at the centre from the start
in the climate debacle, provides a good example of the deception
with contradictory statements. In 1993 he told Discover magazine,
“Scientists need ”to get some broader based support, to
capture the public’s imagination…that, of course, entails
getting loads of media coverage. So we have to offer up scary scenarios,
make simplified dramatic statements, and make little mention of
doubts we may have…each of us has to decide what the right
balance is between being effective and being honest.” The last
part is frightening. In the same year Schneider went beyond doubt
to certainty when he said:

“Uncertainty
about important feedback mechanisms is one reason why the ultimate
goal of climate modeling – the forecasting reliably the futures
key variables such as temperature and rainfall patterns –
is not realizable.”

Other members
involved with IPCC and the Climatic Research Unit (CRU) acknowledged
similar limitations, yet took research funds and a Nobel Prize while
claiming forecasting was possible. In 1995 Kevin Trenberth said:

It’s
very clear we do not have a climate observing system…This
may be a shock to many people who assume that we do know adequately
what’s going on with the climate, but we don’t.

The CRU said,
“Uncertainties in our understanding of climate processes, the
natural variability of the climate, and limitations of the GCMs
mean that their results are not definite predictions of future climate.”
To summarize, we don’t have an adequate data-collecting base,
we don’t know or understand the historic record, we don’t
know the mechanisms, and the computer models don’t work. Despite
this they participated in the IPCC deception of world governments
at the expense of the people.

They are not
the first weathermen to influence policy, but certainly the most
damaging. At the beginning of the 20th century a Scottish meteorologist,
Alexander Buchan noticed over forty years of observation the pattern
of warm and cold and that a particularly cold spell occurred between
April 11th and 14th. It became known as Buchan’s cold spell
and in 1927 was used to sidetrack British parliamentarians from
fixing Easter to occur between 9 and 15th. of April. Earlier a Dr.
Merriweather noticed the behavior of leeches he used to bleed patients
predicted the weather. It was calm weather when they lay on the
bottom; rain was expected when they crawled above the water line;
and a storm was due when they were tightly curled out of the water.
A special bottle designed so a bell rang when the leech assumed
the storm position was displayed at the Great Exhibition in London
of 1851.

Modern forecasting
began with the advent of aviation in the First World War. The weather
map was developed in the mid 19th century in the US to study storm
systems. Then Roland Bjerknes converted it to a practical application
from a cyclone development theory. Use of military terms like advancing
or retreating Fronts, Warm and Cold sectors, or overrunning warm
air reflect the military influence. In addition, most weather stations
used to determine global temperature are located at airports.

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the rest of the article

August
13, 2010

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