may come as a bit of a surprise, so too might that fact that the
warmest year recorded globally was not in 2008 or 2007, but in 1998.
But it is true.
For the last 11 years we have not observed any increase in global
And our climate
models did not forecast it, even though man-made carbon dioxide,
the gas thought to be responsible for warming our planet, has continued
So what on
Earth is going on?
sceptics, who passionately and consistently argue that man’s influence
on our climate is overstated, say they saw it coming.
that there are natural cycles, over which we have no control, that
dictate how warm the planet is. But what is the evidence for this?
last few decades of the 20th Century, our planet did warm quickly.
that the warming we observed was down to the energy from the Sun
increasing. After all 98% of the Earth’s warmth comes from the Sun.
conducted two years ago, and published by the Royal Society, seemed
to rule out solar influences.
main approach was simple: to look at solar output and cosmic ray
intensity over the last 30–40 years, and compare those trends
with the graph for global average surface temperature.
And the results
were clear. "Warming in the last 20 to 40 years can’t have
been caused by solar activity," said Dr Piers Forster from
Leeds University, a leading contributor to this year’s Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
But one solar
scientist Piers Corbyn from Weatheraction, a company specialising
in long range weather forecasting, disagrees.
He claims that
solar charged particles impact us far more than is currently accepted,
so much so he says that they are almost entirely responsible for
what happens to global temperatures.
He is so excited
by what he has discovered that he plans to tell the international
scientific community at a conference in London at the end of the
If proved correct,
this could revolutionise the whole subject.
What is really
interesting at the moment is what is happening to our oceans. They
are the Earth’s great heat stores.
research conducted by Professor Don Easterbrook from Western Washington
University last November, the oceans and global temperatures are